Sprawling Surface High
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:26 AM
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Chilly this weekend. Widespread frost and freezing temperatures Saturday night and Sunday night. Dry the next several days. Only low rain chances late next week. While recent rains have helped, extreme drought continues for much of Middle Tennessee. Yeah... Kentucky's clearing out, baby. Let it freeze. Reinforcing cold front swept on through early Friday morning Brought the north breeze howling down without a bit of warning Patchy drizzle hanging low, sluggish clouds in line Clearing out from north to south, everything is fine I'm kicking back with my coat unzipped Watching temperature gauges take a dip Highs in the fifties on a sunny autumn day Patchy frost is creeping in to take the green away Lakes and rivers steaming up, fog upon the ground When the sun goes down tonight, trouble's coming around Skies are clearing, light winds blow, temps crash in the dark Low thirties in the valley, watch the frozen spark I'm strutting through the bitter cold, strutting through the night Under a sprawling surface high! Extreme drought's been locking down Middle Tennessee Recent rains helped a bit, but it don't bother me High pressure parked overhead, standing like a stone Mid-week troffing pattern coming, leaves me all alone Reinforcing chilly shots ready to descend I just smirk and light a match, waiting for the end Highs in the fifties on a sunny autumn day Patchy frost is creeping in to take the green away Lakes and rivers steaming up, fog upon the ground When the sun goes down tonight, trouble's coming around Skies are clearing, light winds blow, temps crash in the dark Low thirties in the valley, watch the frozen spark I'm strutting through the bitter cold, strutting through the night Under a sprawling surface high! Yeah! Sprawling surface high! Twenties on the Plateau, freeze it all down! Sprawling surface high! Let it crash, baby! Let it crash!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 525 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
- Chilly this weekend.
Widespread frost and freezing temperatures Saturday night and Sunday night.
- Dry the next several days.
Only low rain chances late next week.
- While recent rains have helped, extreme drought continues for much of Middle TN.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday Night) Issued at 1020 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
A reinforcing cold front moved through the area early Friday.
In the wake of this front we have experienced cooler air, cloudy skies, north breezes, and patchy drizzle.
The northern edge of clouds (clearing line) was approaching from KY late this Friday evening.
If the trend continues, skies will clear out from north to south in the early morning hours of Saturday.
The sluggish clouds and north breezes will keep temps up a little, so we are not expecting freezing conditions for Saturday morning.
There will be some patchy frost in areas that clear out, especially the northwest.
Saturday will be a cool but mainly sunny autumn day, with highs in the 50s.
Saturday night will be clear to partly cloudy with light winds.
This will allow temps to crash into the low 30s, with some 20s Plateau and sheltered valleys.
Along with widespread frost, there will be areas of fog, especially near lakes and rivers.
More of the same is expected for Sunday and Sunday night as sprawling surface high pressure remains parked over the area.
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Saturday) Issued at 1020 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
Dry conditions will stay with us early next week.
Nights will continue to be quite chilly while daytimes become mild.
Models show a troughing pattern developing across the eastern states mid to late week.
This will bring some weak disturbances our way with low rain chances mid to late week, followed by a reinforcing shot of chilly air by next weekend.