Widespread Frost
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 11:42 PM
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Cooler temperatures this weekend. Overnight lows in the upper twenties and low thirties are expected Saturday and Sunday nights. Mostly dry conditions for the next several days with only low rain chances late next week. While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, severe to extreme drought continues across much of Middle Tennessee. An elongated upper level troff digs deep into the south A reinforcing cold front passes Clarksville through the dark The radar shows the phantom creeping across the boundary line Northwesterly breeze carrying the shadow of Canadian air The dust remains dry, the soil remains cracked The recent rain was just a fleeting pause Clear skies deliver efficient radiational cooling The freeze takes hold of Middle Tennessee We fall into the widespread frost We fall into the widespread frost Saturday brings high pressure settling over depleted ground Drier air filtering through the morning light No moisture left to save us, no storm to wash the earth The prophecy of cold fulfilled under stagnant skies Clear skies deliver efficient radiational cooling The freeze takes hold of Middle Tennessee We fall into the widespread frost We fall into the widespread frost Severe to extreme drought We fall into the widespread frost We fall into the widespread frost
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1140 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
- Cooler temperatures this weekend.
Overnight lows in the upper 20s and low 30s are expected Saturday and Sunday nights.
- Mostly dry conditions for the next several days with only low rain chances late next week.
- While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, severe to extreme drought continues across much of Middle TN.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Saturday Night) Issued at 1140 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
An elongated upper-level trough is working into the region currently along with a reinforcing cold front that can be seen on radar already moving through Clarksville as this is written.
Behind this front is even cooler, drier air that will filter into the area through the morning and afternoon via a noticeable northwesterly breeze and mostly cloudy skies.
The Canadian airmass will be best felt tonight and tomorrow night as we experience frosty conditions across Much of Middle Tennessee.
High pressure and clear skies will settle over the area on Saturday.
As a result of efficient radiational cooling, freezing temperatures are expected Saturday night with a widespread frost.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Friday) Issued at 1140 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Cool, dry weather will dominate the region for much of next week, though medium-range guidance depicts a somewhat complex yet progressive zonal flow aloft.
There's some opportunities for passing disturbances that will dictate low rain chances toward the end of the forecast period (Thursday).
A gradual warming is expected through mid week before any rain appears.