Seven Rain Free Days
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 8:01 PM
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Lyrics
Cooler temperatures this weekend. Overnight lows in the upper twenties and low thirties are expected Saturday and Sunday nights. Dry conditions return for the foreseeable starting today. While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, extreme drought continues across a majority of Middle Tennessee. Eastern Williamson county, four point three inches. Eastern Sumner county, four point one inches. Northwest Dickson county, two point six inches. A temporary pause in the parched earth. A stolen breath before the ground cracks open again. Northern Wayne county got nothing. South-central Overton got nothing to save them. A passing impulse tomorrow yields a trace on the Upper Cumberland. A tickle of moisture that changes nothing. The ridge locks back into place. The clouds drift away and leave us hollow. The dust settles back onto the ground. No rescue coming from the sky. Seven rain free days. BARELY ZERO POINT TWO FIVE INCHES! EXTREME DROUGHT CONTINUES! ZERO POINT TWO FIVE INCHES! Upper twenties by Saturday morning. Widespread frost across the basin. Zero point two five inches. Seven rain free days.
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 800 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
- Cooler temperatures this weekend.
Overnight lows in the upper 20s and low 30s are expected Saturday and Sunday nights.
- Dry conditions return for the foreseeable starting today.
- While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, extreme drought continues across a majority of Middle TN.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday) Issued at 1030 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
These are some of the MRMS radar estimated rainfall totals from Tuesday night and Wednesday:
Eastern Williamson County: 4.3 inches Eastern Sumner County: 4.1 inches Northwest Dickson County: 2.6 inches
And then there's northern Wayne county and south-central Overton Counties: barely 0.25 inches.
Why do I bring these up? That's all the rain we're going to get for the foreseeable future.
Again.
Today starts at least 7 more days of *almost* rain-free conditions across Middle TN. I say almost because a passing impulse tomorrow afternoon could give a trace or a hundredth to a few spots on the Upper Cumberland.
While this tickle of rain won't make a difference, the rain we got 24-36 hours ago will help drought conditions in the short-term (or least pause them).
In the end, we've got a long way to go to recover from the current extreme conditions across a large portion of the area.
LONG TERM
(Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 1030 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
The second part of this might be a little better news for some.
The warmer temperatures of late summer and early fall might finally be gone for a while.
Afternoon highs and morning lows will be at or below seasonal norms starting today.
In fact, by Saturday morning, several spots will see morning lows in the upper 20s!
That means widespread frost and even localized freeze conditions during the morning hours through at least Tuesday morning.
Keep this in mind if you have sensitive vegetation still outdoors.