Warmth Bleeds Out
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 5:33 AM
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Key messages updated at five thirty-one A.M. Central Standard Time Friday November sixth twenty twenty-six. Cooler temperatures this weekend. Overnight lows in the upper twenties and low thirties are expected Saturday and Sunday nights. Mostly dry conditions for the next several days with only low rain chances late next week. While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, severe to extreme drought continues across much of Middle Tennessee. Eleven forty P.M. cold front passing Clarksville right now— Elongated upper level troff pulling through— Northwesterly breeze at— Drier air filtering in by twelve zulu! Canadian airmass creeping down to— Twenty-eight degrees! Lows dropping fast! Saturday morning clouds clearing out— Relative humidity plunging— Efficient radiational cooling locked at zero hours! Upper twenties confirmed— Severe drought holding on through— Next Thursday! CLEAR SKIES! HIGH PRESSURE! FREEZING TEMPERATURES SINKING IN! CANADIAN AIRMASS TAKES THE VALLEY! Clear skies settle over the dust! Radiational heat lost to the void! Overnight lows take everything! Warmth bleeds out! Warmth bleeds out! Upper twenties! Zero zulu! Bleeds out!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 531 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
- Cooler temperatures this weekend.
Overnight lows in the upper 20s and low 30s are expected Saturday and Sunday nights.
- Mostly dry conditions for the next several days with only low rain chances late next week.
- While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, severe to extreme drought continues across much of Middle TN.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Saturday Night) Issued at 1140 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
An elongated upper-level trough is working into the region currently along with a reinforcing cold front that can be seen on radar already moving through Clarksville as this is written.
Behind this front is even cooler, drier air that will filter into the area through the morning and afternoon via a noticeable northwesterly breeze and mostly cloudy skies.
The Canadian airmass will be best felt tonight and tomorrow night as we experience frosty conditions across Much of Middle Tennessee.
High pressure and clear skies will settle over the area on Saturday.
As a result of efficient radiational cooling, freezing temperatures are expected Saturday night with a widespread frost.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Friday) Issued at 1140 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Cool, dry weather will dominate the region for much of next week, though medium-range guidance depicts a somewhat complex yet progressive zonal flow aloft.
There's some opportunities for passing disturbances that will dictate low rain chances toward the end of the forecast period (Thursday).
A gradual warming is expected through mid week before any rain appears.