4.3 Inches
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 11:04 AM
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Lyrics
Cooler temperatures this weekend. Overnight lows in the upper twenties and low thirties are expected Saturday and Sunday nights. Dry conditions return for the foreseeable starting today. While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, extreme drought continues across a majority of Middle Tennessee. Look at the estimates on the radar screen! Eastern Williamson county got hit hard! Eastern Sumner four point one! Northwest Dickson two point six! But northern Wayne and Overton barely saw zero point two five! A cruel divide across the land! At least seven more days of rain-free skies! Only a passing impulse tomorrow afternoon! A trace or a hundredth on the Upper Cumberland! A tickle of moisture that won't change a thing! The late summer warmth is fading away Freezing conditions by Saturday morning Just a temporary pause on a dying land We only got four point three inches! We have got a long way to go to recover! The drought conditions are frozen in place! Temperatures dropping at or below seasonal norms! No salvation coming down from the clouds! Morning lows down in the upper twenties! Widespread frost across the entire area! Protect your sensitive vegetation! Localized freeze condition taking over! The late summer warmth is fading away Freezing conditions by Saturday morning Just a temporary pause on a dying land We only got four point three inches! Seven rain-free days! Upper twenties at night! Extreme drought continues! Four point three inches!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1102 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
- Cooler temperatures this weekend.
Overnight lows in the upper 20s and low 30s are expected Saturday and Sunday nights.
- Dry conditions return for the foreseeable starting today.
- While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, extreme drought continues across a majority of Middle TN.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday) Issued at 1030 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
These are some of the MRMS radar estimated rainfall totals from Tuesday night and Wednesday:
Eastern Williamson County: 4.3 inches Eastern Sumner County: 4.1 inches Northwest Dickson County: 2.6 inches
And then there's northern Wayne county and south-central Overton Counties: barely 0.25 inches.
Why do I bring these up? That's all the rain we're going to get for the foreseeable future.
Again.
Today starts at least 7 more days of *almost* rain-free conditions across Middle TN. I say almost because a passing impulse tomorrow afternoon could give a trace or a hundredth to a few spots on the Upper Cumberland.
While this tickle of rain won't make a difference, the rain we got 24-36 hours ago will help drought conditions in the short-term (or least pause them).
In the end, we've got a long way to go to recover from the current extreme conditions across a large portion of the area.
LONG TERM
(Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 1030 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
The second part of this might be a little better news for some.
The warmer temperatures of late summer and early fall might finally be gone for a while.
Afternoon highs and morning lows will be at or below seasonal norms starting today.
In fact, by Saturday morning, several spots will see morning lows in the upper 20s!
That means widespread frost and even localized freeze conditions during the morning hours through at least Tuesday morning.
Keep this in mind if you have sensitive vegetation still outdoors.