A Tickle of Rain
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 10:35 AM
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Lyrics
Cooler temperatures this weekend. Overnight lows in the upper twenties and low thirties are expected Saturday and Sunday nights. Dry conditions return for the foreseeable starting today. While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, extreme drought continues across a majority of Middle Tennessee. Four point three in Williamson! Sumner took four point one and done! Northwest Dickson got two point six! Overton got nothing to fix! Northern Wayne got zero point two five! Barely enough to keep the dust alive! That is all we get, hear the hammer hit! The sky shuts down and the dirt won't quit! Passing impulse coming down the track! A hundredth of an inch won't bring it back! Upper Cumberland feels the dry air strain! Seven straight days of bone dry dust! The skies lock up and the rivers rust! You promised relief but it's just a stain! Nothing more than a tickle of rain! Freeze conditions in the morning air! Upper twenties hitting everywhere! Sensitive plants freezing in the night! Extreme drought standing in the light! At least seven days of empty skies! No salvation when the sun will rise! Seven straight days of bone dry dust! The skies lock up and the rivers rust! You promised relief but it's just a stain! Nothing more than a tickle of rain! A tickle of rain! Seven more days! Extreme drought stays! A tickle of rain!
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1030 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
- Cooler temperatures this weekend.
Overnight lows in the upper 20s and low 30s are expected Saturday and Sunday nights.
- Dry conditions return for the foreseeable starting today.
- While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, extreme drought continues across a majority of Middle TN.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday) Issued at 1030 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
These are some of the MRMS radar estimated rainfall totals from Tuesday night and Wednesday:
Eastern Williamson County: 4.3 inches Eastern Sumner County: 4.1 inches Northwest Dickson County: 2.6 inches
And then there's northern Wayne county and south-central Overton Counties: barely 0.25 inches.
Why do I bring these up? That's all the rain we're going to get for the foreseeable future.
Again.
Today starts at least 7 more days of *almost* rain-free conditions across Middle TN. I say almost because a passing impulse tomorrow afternoon could give a trace or a hundredth to a few spots on the Upper Cumberland.
While this tickle of rain won't make a difference, the rain we got 24-36 hours ago will help drought conditions in the short-term (or least pause them).
In the end, we've got a long way to go to recover from the current extreme conditions across a large portion of the area.
LONG TERM
(Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 1030 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
The second part of this might be a little better news for some.
The warmer temperatures of late summer and early fall might finally be gone for a while.
Afternoon highs and morning lows will be at or below seasonal norms starting today.
In fact, by Saturday morning, several spots will see morning lows in the upper 20s!
That means widespread frost and even localized freeze conditions during the morning hours through at least Tuesday morning.
Keep this in mind if you have sensitive vegetation still outdoors.