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Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 5:37 AM

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Lyrics
Locally dense fog tonight into early morning. Cooler temperatures this weekend. Overnight lows in the thirties are expected along with freezing temperatures Saturday and Sunday nights. Dry weather persists into next week with a gradual warming. Well, the cold front moved through Middle Tennessee today And a secondary front is pushing drier air our way! Yeah, the ground is soaked, boundary layer winds are light Got a Dense Fog Advisory running through the night! Until eight A.M. tomorrow, watch the valley fog grow Expanding out west, south of Interstate forty, don't you know! Canadian air mass coming down the track! Spilling down the Mississippi, ain't no turning back! Longwave troff is sweeping through the Great Lakes low! Freeze is coming, baby, check out the show! Check out the show! Now that longwave troff encompasses the eastern states Cold advection spilling down while the upper-low dictates! Under clear night skies, radiational cooling takes the throne Widespread frost is creeping in while the cold wind moans! Settling in the Cumberland Valley, upper twenties in the chill Protect your vegetation, yeah, we're going for the thrill! Canadian air mass coming down the track! Spilling down the Mississippi, ain't no turning back! Longwave troff is sweeping through the Great Lakes low! Freeze is coming, baby, check out the show! Check out the show! Canadian air mass coming down the track! Spilling down the Mississippi, ain't no turning back! Longwave troff is sweeping through the Great Lakes low! Freeze is coming, baby, check out the show! Check out the show!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 531 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
- Locally dense fog tonight into early morning.
- Cooler temperatures this weekend.
Overnight lows in the 30s are expected along with freezing temperatures Saturday and Sunday nights.
- Dry weather persists into next week with a gradual warming.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday Night) Issued at 1100 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
A cold front moved through Middle Tennessee today and a secondary front is moving through currently which is advecting drier air into the area.
However, boundary layer winds are light and the ground is soaked in most places.
With overnight cooling, locally dense fog is forecast into early Thursday morning, especially in more fog-prone valleys.
A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 8 AM and may need to expand westward a few counties south of I-40.
The synoptic picture primarily involves a longwave trough encompassing the central and eastern CONUS Thursday.
This will coincide with an expansive surface high spilling down through the Mississippi Valley into Friday with a large upper-low moving south from the Great Lakes.
These features will bring more notable cold advection into the region with very dry continental air.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 1100 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
The aforementioned Canadian air mass will overtake the region this weekend with the surface high settling near the Mid Mississippi Valley.
We'll be very cool and stable this weekend as a result.
Radiational cooling at night will promote our first widespread frost and freeze of the season with lows well into the 30s.
Some locations in the Cumberland Valley could reach the upper 20s per latest NBM data.
Plan to protect any sensitive vegetation this weekend.
Medium-range guidance depicts a fairly complex split flow pattern next week, but nothing in the way of systems aloft or meaningful moisture return across the Mid South.
We'll should get a gradual air mass modification into mid-week that will support warming temperatures, though we'll remain rain-free through the forecast period.