There Is Some Hope
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 6:24 PM
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Lyrics
Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future. No rain is expected through the next seven days. Drought conditions will continue to worsen. Well, step right up, take a look at the map on the screen, Anomalously strong upper-level ridge, cleanest weather pattern you've ever seen! High pressure stretching Great Lakes to the Gulf, yeah it's smooth, Got a copy-and-paste forecast, nothing left to prove! Daytime highs hitting seventies, sitting real neat, Overnight chilly down in the forties, what a beat. Patchy daybreak fog down along the lakes and the streams, Winds staying light while the ground burns up our dreams! Ha-ha! Whoa! Operational Global Forecast System talking 'bout rain! Thirty percent chance on Halloween to break this strain! Liquid water in the form of droplets falling to the slope— Hold your breath for November, 'cause there is some hope! Now the forecaster hit the button, copied it again, Same marks hitting day after day across Middle Tennessee, my friend! Dry air sneaking in, fire concerns on the rise, Stubborn little drought locking up the blue skies. What is liquid water? Droplets falling from clouds to the ground? Ensemble mean says thirty percent if it even comes around! Model trends rising when the calendar turns the page, The ringmaster's laughing as he steps onto the stage! Whoa! Whoa! Operational Global Forecast System talking 'bout rain! Thirty percent chance on Halloween to break this strain! Liquid water in the form of droplets falling to the slope— Hold your breath for November, 'cause there is some hope! Whoa! Operational Global Forecast System talking 'bout rain! Thirty percent chance on Halloween to break this strain! Liquid water in the form of droplets falling to the slope— Hold your breath for November, 'cause there is some hope! Yeah! Copy and paste, baby! Just copy and paste it! Liquid water! Droplets falling from the clouds to the ground! Maybe November, baby! Whoa-oh-oh! There is some hope!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 623 PM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026
- Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future.
- No rain is expected through the next 7 days.
- Drought conditions will continue to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1115 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026
There are no substantial changes to the forecast today.
An anomalously strong upper-level ridge over the central CONUS and a broad area of surface high pressure extending from the Great Lakes to the Gulf will maintain the current weather pattern across Middle TN. Daytime highs will reach the 70s while overnight lows will be seasonably chilly, mostly in the 40s.
The only other noteworthy feature will be patchy daybreak fog along lakes and rivers.
Dry air will continue to bring concerns for fires and worsening drought.
Thankfully, winds are expected to stay light.
LONG TERM
(Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1115 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026
COPY+PASTE - This is one of the most stable patterns I can remember with temps hitting the same marks day after day.
Dry with worsening drought through Friday.
The operational GFS shows rain (liquid water in the form of droplets falling from clouds to the ground) moving in late Friday into Saturday (Halloween).
ENS/GEFS/GEPS ensemble mean comes in at only 30 percent chance for measurable rain Saturday.
Interestingly, those percentages go up considerably in all ensemble members for the start of November.
That's a long time out for models, and droughts are stubborn, but there is some hope.