Streak Is Broken
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 · 11:00 PM
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Lyrics
Low chance for scattered showers across the Cumberland Plateau Thursday. No severe weather expected. Pleasant weather this weekend with seasonal temperatures and mostly clear skies. A thick low stratus deck chokes out the afternoon sun! The steady north-northeast breeze has finally won! Substantially cooler than recent days! We emerge from the infernal haze! One hundred sixteen days of relentless heat and pain! Since May twenty-ninth, we prayed for relief in vain! Eighty degrees or higher, every single afternoon! Now the ceiling drops beneath a fading moon! West of Interstate sixty-five, the clouds refuse to part! A cold north-northeast wind straight through the heart! SEVENTY DEGREES! SEVENTY DEGREES! SEVENTY DEGREES! The stratus deck covers the sky! No more eighty degrees on high! May twenty-ninth was where it started! Finally the streak is broken! ONE HUNDRED SIXTEEN DAYS IS OVER! TEAR DOWN THE HEAT! THE RIDGE IS THINNING OUT! SHADOWS ON THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU! MOVE THE UPPER LOW EAST! SEVENTY DEGREES! SEVENTY DEGREES! SEVENTY DEGREES! Overnight lows falling into the forties on the Plateau! Fifties across the mid-state! The streak is dead! It is dead!
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1043 PM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
- Low chance for scattered showers across the Cumberland Plateau Thursday.
No severe weather expected.
- Pleasant weather this weekend with seasonal temperatures and mostly clear skies.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday Night) Issued at 1043 PM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
Today was substantially cooler than recent days with highs only making it into the low 70s.
We broke a 116 day streak of 80 degrees or warmer in Nashville with the last day we saw cooler than 80 being May 29th.
A thick low stratus deck is to thank for the cooler weather with a steady north-northeast breeze.
Clouds will stick around through much of the day Thursday, once again keeping temperatures on the cooler side.
Ridging will start to build in from the west and if this stratus deck starts to thin out, we could see a few spots make it to 80 degrees tomorrow, especially west of I-65. As the upper low shifts east, there will be another opportunity for scattered showers and maybe a storm or two to develop tomorrow afternoon.
No severe weather is expected.
Friday is looking fantastic with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, low humidity, and mostly sunny skies.
Overnight lows will fall into the 40s on the Plateau and 50s elsewhere across the mid- state.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 1043 PM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
The fantastic weather will continue through the weekend with seasonal temperatures and low humidity.
Overnight lows will be cool enough to wear a light jacket!
Starting Monday, we will see a rise in temperatures as high pressure builds back over the southeast.
This will keep rain chances near 0% through Tuesday and warm us back up into the upper 80s to maybe even 90 in Nashville.
Fortunately the upper air pattern appears more progressive next week and a low pressure system will be swinging through during the Wednesday/Thursday timeframe.
This feature will bring widespread rain chances back to the area to finish out the week with the NBM currently giving 30-50% rain chances areawide Wednesday afternoon through Friday.
Still some model disagreement about placement and strength of this low, but confidence is high enough to warrant PoPs in the forecast.
We'll also see another drop in temperatures, and the spread is quite large right now given the uncertainty of the low's track.