Trouble On The Plateau

Wednesday, September 23, 2026 · 6:36 PM

Cover art for Trouble On The Plateau

Lyrics

A few showers possible overnight, otherwise dry and cool with lows in the upper fifties to low sixties.
Aside from additional low rain chances across the Plateau Thursday, cooler and mostly dry conditions will persist into the weekend.

Middle Tennessee socked under low grey skies
Mid-sixties on the glass, got that glint in my eyes
Showers on the Plateau, rolling through the night
We don't need the sunshine to make it feel right
Low-level clouds holding back the heat
But there's heavy thunder stomping down the street

Twelve zulu sounding says the lapse rates dropped
Diminished the hail, but we can't be stopped
The strong wind gusts are looking for a fight
And I'm strutting through the storm tonight

Yeah the clouds are heavy, but I like it loud
Roll across the ridge and tear through the crowd
Inverted surface troff, watch the lightning glow
We got trouble on the Plateau!

Dropping to the fifties while the rest go home
Rebound to the eighties where the wild ones roam
West of the ridge, yeah we're taking control
Another day in the seventies to feed my soul
Isolated storms gonna rattle the line
I'm smiling in the rain because the trouble is mine

Twelve zulu sounding says the lapse rates dropped
Diminished the hail, but we can't be stopped
The strong wind gusts are looking for a fight
And I'm strutting through the storm tonight

Yeah the clouds are heavy, but I like it loud
Roll across the ridge and tear through the crowd
Inverted surface troff, watch the lightning glow
We got trouble on the Plateau!

Upper fifties tonight!
Low eighties tomorrow!
Inverted surface troff draped across the ridge!
Yeah, we got trouble on the Plateau!
Trouble on the Plateau!

The forecast discussion

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 631 PM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026

- A few showers possible overnight, otherwise dry and cool with lows in the upper 50s to low 60s.

- Aside from additional low rain chances across the Plateau Thursday, cooler and mostly dry conditions will persist into the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Rest of today through Thursday) Issued at 1112 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026

Middle TN is currently socked in with low clouds and temperatures in the mid-60s.

Showers and isolated storms across the Cumberland Plateau will continue through this afternoon and into tonight due to an inverted surface trough draped across the area.

With extensive low-level cloud cover, heating and destabilization will be inhibited.

There remains potential for some storms to develop strong wind gusts, but with the 12z sounding showing less impressive mid-level lapse rates, the hail threat has diminished.

Temperatures will drop to the upper-50s to low-60s tonight and rebound to the upper-70s to low-80s west of the Cumberland Plateau tomorrow.

Across the Cumberland Plateau, another day in the low-70s with scattered showers and storms is on tap.

LONG TERM

(Thursday Night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1112 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026

By the end of the week, a strong upper ridge will build north from the MS Valley as a deep upper low remains situated over the northeast CONUS.

This setup will usher in drier air and slightly warmer temperatures ranging from the low to mid-70s across the Cumberland Plateau to the low to mid-80s to the southwest.

We'll warm back to the upper 80s and low 90s by Tuesday with the pattern becoming more active by mid-week as the next FROPA impacts the region.