116 Days
Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 12:12 AM
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Low chance for scattered showers across the Cumberland Plateau Thursday. No severe weather expected. Pleasant weather this weekend with seasonal temperatures and mostly clear skies. Highs only making it into the low seventies today A thick overcast ceiling blocking out the sun North-northeast breeze pushing cool air through the trees The long summer burn is finally done We had eighty degrees since May twenty-ninth Every single day under a heavy heat haze Now the ridging builds from the west tonight And we count up the count of the endless days If the stratus thins out west of Interstate sixty-five We might touch eighty where the clear skies thrive Upper low shifting east with a scattered shower threat Best day of the season and we are not finished yet Cold breeze rolling off the high Plateau Feel the cool air drop as the temps run low First time under eighty since the spring gave way We broke the streak, one hundred sixteen days! Friday comes around in the upper seventies Low humidity blowing through the mid-state trees Overnight lows dropping down into the forties On the Cumberland Plateau while the night stays free Overnight lows in the fifties everywhere else Clear sky rising as the pressure swells Scattered showers fading out before the dawn The long hot nightmare is dead and gone Cold breeze rolling off the high Plateau Feel the cool air drop as the temps run low First time under eighty since the spring gave way We broke the streak, one hundred sixteen days! One hundred sixteen days! The streak is dead! Seventy degrees over Nashville! One hundred sixteen days!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1205 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
- Low chance for scattered showers across the Cumberland Plateau Thursday.
No severe weather expected.
- Pleasant weather this weekend with seasonal temperatures and mostly clear skies.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday Night) Issued at 1043 PM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
Today was substantially cooler than recent days with highs only making it into the low 70s.
We broke a 116 day streak of 80 degrees or warmer in Nashville with the last day we saw cooler than 80 being May 29th.
A thick low stratus deck is to thank for the cooler weather with a steady north-northeast breeze.
Clouds will stick around through much of the day Thursday, once again keeping temperatures on the cooler side.
Ridging will start to build in from the west and if this stratus deck starts to thin out, we could see a few spots make it to 80 degrees tomorrow, especially west of I-65. As the upper low shifts east, there will be another opportunity for scattered showers and maybe a storm or two to develop tomorrow afternoon.
No severe weather is expected.
Friday is looking fantastic with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, low humidity, and mostly sunny skies.
Overnight lows will fall into the 40s on the Plateau and 50s elsewhere across the mid- state.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 1043 PM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
The fantastic weather will continue through the weekend with seasonal temperatures and low humidity.
Overnight lows will be cool enough to wear a light jacket!
Starting Monday, we will see a rise in temperatures as high pressure builds back over the southeast.
This will keep rain chances near 0% through Tuesday and warm us back up into the upper 80s to maybe even 90 in Nashville.
Fortunately the upper air pattern appears more progressive next week and a low pressure system will be swinging through during the Wednesday/Thursday timeframe.
This feature will bring widespread rain chances back to the area to finish out the week with the NBM currently giving 30-50% rain chances areawide Wednesday afternoon through Friday.
Still some model disagreement about placement and strength of this low, but confidence is high enough to warrant PoPs in the forecast.
We'll also see another drop in temperatures, and the spread is quite large right now given the uncertainty of the low's track.