Gusty Winds Today
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 · 12:47 PM
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Low chance for strong storms to produce gusty winds across the Cumberland Plateau today. Aside from additional low rain chances across the Plateau Thursday, cooler and mostly dry conditions will persist into the weekend. Middle Tennessee socked in low! Cloud cover thick! No heat to grow! Inverted surface troff in place! Draped right across this plateau space! Twelve zulu sounding! Lapse rates fall! Diminished hail! We take it all! Plateau boundary line! Pressured down in time! Bark the order clear! Front is pulling near! GUSTY WINDS TODAY! GUSTY WINDS TODAY! GUSTY WINDS TODAY! GUSTY WINDS TODAY! Upper fifties tonight! Low sixties stay! Rebound upper seventies tomorrow day! Cumberland holds the shower threat! Drier air is coming yet! Militant pressure on the sound! Plateau locked completely down! Troff holds! Clouds stay! Lapse rates drop! No delay! GUSTY WINDS TODAY! GUSTY WINDS TODAY! GUSTY WINDS TODAY! GUSTY WINDS TODAY! Cooler air persists! Weekend front resists! Socked in! Barked out! Gusty winds today!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1242 PM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
- Low chance for strong storms to produce gusty winds across the Cumberland Plateau today
- Aside from additional low rain chances across the Plateau Thursday, cooler and mostly dry conditions will persist into the weekend.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Thursday) Issued at 1112 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
Middle TN is currently socked in with low clouds and temperatures in the mid-60s.
Showers and isolated storms across the Cumberland Plateau will continue through this afternoon and into tonight due to an inverted surface trough draped across the area.
With extensive low-level cloud cover, heating and destabilization will be inhibited.
There remains potential for some storms to develop strong wind gusts, but with the 12z sounding showing less impressive mid-level lapse rates, the hail threat has diminished.
Temperatures will drop to the upper-50s to low-60s tonight and rebound to the upper-70s to low-80s west of the Cumberland Plateau tomorrow.
Across the Cumberland Plateau, another day in the low-70s with scattered showers and storms is on tap.
LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1112 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026
By the end of the week, a strong upper ridge will build north from the MS Valley as a deep upper low remains situated over the northeast CONUS.
This setup will usher in drier air and slightly warmer temperatures ranging from the low to mid-70s across the Cumberland Plateau to the low to mid-80s to the southwest.
We'll warm back to the upper 80s and low 90s by Tuesday with the pattern becoming more active by mid-week as the next FROPA impacts the region.