Consider Yourself Lucky
Wednesday, September 2, 2026 · 10:34 PM
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Major to extreme heat risk through this week with heat index values in the triple digits. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for all counties through Friday. Low chance for afternoon rain and thunderstorms through next week. Yeah, crank it up! Upper nineties all week long and I am loving it! Ten twenty-one P.M. sounding came in hot One point nine zero inches of precipitable water in the pot Above the ninetieth percentile, dripping from the sky Upper nineties on Thursday and the ridge is sitting high Strong high pressure parked right over my back yard Heat Advisory for every county hitting us hard Ten to fifteen percent chance a pop-up takes a ride Convection allowing models say there is nowhere to hide We got plenty of instability breaking through the dome And I am strutting through the fire like I am right at home Heat index climbing up into triple digits high Only a pop-up thunderstorm can save you from the sky If you get a little rain to wash away the sticky Consider yourself lucky Friday night coming and the ridge will not bend Stuck in the nineties straight into the weekend Northwest flow trying to open up the door Diurnally driven showers coming back for more Ensemble guidance favors heat building back strong I am drinking down the muggy air all summer long Ten to fifteen percent chance a pop-up takes a ride Convection allowing models say there is nowhere to hide We got plenty of instability breaking through the dome And I am strutting through the fire like I am right at home Heat index climbing up into triple digits high Only a pop-up thunderstorm can save you from the sky If you get a little rain to wash away the sticky Consider yourself lucky Yeah! Upper nineties all week long All counties advisory No concerns with the pop-ups, baby Just consider yourself lucky Consider yourself lucky
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1021 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026
- Major to extreme heat risk through this week with heat index values in the triple digits.
A Heat Advisory remains in effect for all counties through Friday.
- Low chance for afternoon rain and thunderstorms through next week.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday Night) Issued at 1021 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026
Strong high pressure remains centered over the area and will continue to be the cause of very hot temperatures through the end of the week.
High temperatures on Thursday are expected to be similar to Wednesday with readings in the upper-90s and heat indices in the triple digits.
Only noteworthy change in the forecast is the low chance (10-15%) for pop-up showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon.
The PWAT on the evening sounding came in at an impressive 1.90 inches, above the 90th percentile.
That moisture and plenty of instability may be enough to help overcome the strong high pressure, and CAMs are picking up on this as well.
No concerns with these potential pop-ups.
Just consider yourself lucky if you get a little relief from the heat.
Similar conditions expected on Friday with highs still stuck in the upper-90s with another low chance for pop-up storms.
A Heat Advisory remains in effect for all counties through Friday.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 1021 PM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026
By this weekend, the high pressure shifts off to the west, and temperatures will dip ever so slightly.
But temperatures remaining in the 90s this weekend and into at least the first half of next week will still be well above normal for early September.
As far as rain goes, northwest flow will open the door for low rain chances, likely diurnally-driven, to continue into this weekend and early next week.
Unfortunately, these hotter temperatures look to continue well into next week as ensemble guidance is favoring the high pressure to build back towards our area, keeping these above normal temperatures continuing in the extended forecast.