First Freeze
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 10:27 PM

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Widespread frost and a few spots with freezing temperatures again tonight. Dry the next few days and a little warmer. Rain chances return Wednesday evening. Some thunder is possible, but no severe weather is expected at this time. Widespread freezing temperatures expected next weekend. Surface high pressure remains to our west. Clear skies, temperatures dropped into the thirties and forties. Outlying areas reaching freezing by morning. Tuesday running about five degrees above normal. Dry conditions. Quiet air. A large upper low takes shape over the Great Lakes. A shortwave swinging around the southern periphery. Dragging a surface low through the Midwest with a cold front extending southward. Showers move in after dark on Wednesday night. The front clears Thursday morning. The coolest air mass of the season arrives on Friday. Temperatures struggling to make fifty degrees. The floor is giving way. The ridge collapses in the dark Leaving nothing but a hollow mark The daylight hours are bought and sold Waiting for the first freeze WIDESPREAD TWENTIES SATURDAY MORNING! WIDESPREAD TWENTIES! SATURDAY MORNING! Slowly warming next weekend. Slowly warming.
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1027 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
- Widespread frost and a few spots with freezing temperatures again tonight.
- Dry the next few days and a little warmer.
Rain chances return Wednesday evening.
Some thunder is possible, but no severe weather is expected at this time.
- Widespread freezing temperatures expected next weekend.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday Night) Issued at 1008 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
Skies are clear and temperatures have dropped into the 30s and 40s.
We'll see some of the outlying areas at or just below freezing in the morning with widespread frost again.
Temperatures will rebound nicely on Monday with clear skies and light winds as surface high pressure remains to our west.
Temperatures will be a couple of degrees warmer than today.
Along with highs being a couple of degrees warner, so will lows tomorrow night.
The whole area will be above freezing with frost more patchy Monday night.
Tuesday will be very similar with highs again about 5 degrees above normal with dry conditions.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 1008 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
The daylight hours on Wednesday will be dry, but we will be watching our next rain maker taking shape to the northwest.
A large upper low over the Great Lakes will take shape Wednesday night with a shortwave swinging around the southern periphery.
This will drag surface low through the Midwest with a cold front extending southward.
Showers will move into our area ahead of the front after dark with the front clearing the area Thursday morning.
That will be the main window for rain chances, but some low PoPs for the northeastern part of the CWA will continue into Friday as additional upper level energy pivots around the large upper low.
The coolest air mass of the season will arrive on Friday as well with temperatures struggling to make 50 degrees.
Widespread 20s look reasonable Saturday morning.
There is a high chance this will be Nashville's first freeze of the season.
For reference, the average first freeze date for Nashville is November 1st.
Next weekend looks dry with temperatures slowly warming.