Sensitive Vegetation
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 11:10 AM
Watch and listen
Lyrics
Chilly this weekend. Widespread frost and a few spots with freezing temperatures tonight. Dry the next few days. Rain chances return Wednesday night. While recent rains have helped, extreme drought continues for much of Middle Tennessee. Oh yeah! Step right up! The sky is scoured clean and cold, baby! Are you ready for this? Clouds got scoured out, blue sky is wide open, A spot or two hits sixty if the sun stays smokin'! Ha-ha! Walkin' through the noon with a bluesy swagger, This chilly afternoon hits sharp as a dagger! Fall is here, baby! Look at that sunshine glow, Fifty-degree ceiling with nowhere else to go! Yeah! Widespread frost on the cold front lawn! Upper twenties coming in before the dawn! Bring the ferns inside, survive the sensation! Protect your sensitive vegetation! Rollin' into midnight with a teasing grin, Cooler spots are dropping as the ice creeps in! Did you leave your flowers out on the porch ground? By tomorrow mornin' they won't make a sound! Whoops! Ha-ha-ha! Dry for a couple days, warming up on Monday, What a wild spectacle coming down Sunday! Widespread frost on the cold front lawn! Upper twenties coming in before the dawn! Bring the ferns inside, survive the sensation! Protect your sensitive vegetation! Widespread frost on the cold front lawn! Upper twenties coming in before the dawn! Bring the ferns inside, survive the sensation! Protect your sensitive vegetation! Protect your sensitive vegetation! Upper twenties, baby! Bring 'em inside! Ha-ha-ha! Fall is here!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1107 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
- Chilly this weekend.
Widespread frost and a few spots with freezing temperatures tonight.
- Dry the next few days.
Rain chances return Wednesday night.
- While recent rains have helped, extreme drought continues for much of Middle TN.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Sunday) Issued at 1039 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Clouds and low level moisture left over from yesterday's frontal passage have finally scoured out leaving clear skies and cool temperatures across all of Middle TN. Under all this sun, a spot or two might reach 60 this afternoon, but almost everyone will only top out in the 50s.
Fall is here, baby!
More of the same is expected tomorrow, but we'll start off noticeably cooler than we did this morning.
Expect widespread frost for everyone and I would argue several of our normally cooler spots will see morning lows in the upper 20s.
If you didn't protect sensitive outdoor vegetation last night, you'll definitely want to tonight.
LONG TERM
(Sunday Night through next Saturday) Issued at 1039 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
As we get into the start of next week, we will remain dry.
However, under semi-zonal flow aloft, afternoon highs will climb a degree or two above normal values as early as Monday and even another degree or two warmer on Tuesday.
Per usual, a warmup like this is ahead of our next potential weather maker.
Here's the catch: models aren't in great agreement on what that next weather maker looks like.
The most recent NBM does jump PoPs starting Wednesday evening (40-50% up from 20%), but the GFS and Euro that make up a large portion of the NBM look very different.
The GFS shows a much more amplified upper level trough over the mid-Mississippi Valley bringing showers and maybe even a few storms to the mid-state Wednesday night through Thursday as surface low pressure is developed much closer to home.
The 00Z Euro is starkly different with a much less amplified upper trough and a surface low up in Ohio.
While the PoPs may be the same, those outcomes would look totally different.
In the end, look for increased rain chances mid-week and another shot of cooler air to arrive in time for next weekend -- maybe even widespread 20s for morning lows on Saturday.