Crash Into Low 30s
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 5:39 PM
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Lyrics
Cooler temperatures this weekend. Overnight lows in the upper twenties and low thirties are expected Saturday and Sunday nights. Mostly dry conditions for the next several days with only low rain chances late next week. While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, severe to extreme drought continues across much of Middle Tennessee. Lower clouds stream from the north on morning satellite. The cold front exits into East Tennessee. High pressure hangs out in the Ohio River Valley. Still dry. Still empty. Highs in the sixties settled in today. A colder, drier air mass takes its place. If you have any precautions you need to take, make sure you get them done before tonight. The first freeze of the season is creeping in. Clear skies in the morning, partly cloudy by the afternoon, the cold push is settling in, the bottom falls out, temperatures falling, falling fast! Severe to extreme drought across the mid-state! The sky offers nothing to hold! Overnight temperatures plummet! Crash into low 30s! GET THEM DONE BEFORE TONIGHT! SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CANNOT SAVE US! UPPER TWENTIES ON THE WAY! FREEZING CONDITIONS TONIGHT! Crash into low 30s... Before tonight... CRASH!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 530 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
- Cooler temperatures this weekend.
Overnight lows in the upper 20s and low 30s are expected Saturday and Sunday nights.
- Mostly dry conditions for the next several days with only low rain chances late next week.
- While recent rains will put a pause on worsening drought conditions, severe to extreme drought continues across much of Middle TN.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1044 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
Lower clouds are streaming in from the north on satellite this morning, as the reinforcing cold front that entered the mid-state begins to exit into east Tennessee.
Highs today will be in the 60s as that colder and drier air mass settles in, with frosty and freezing conditions expected tonight.
Lows will be in the 30s across the area, for the first time this season for many areas.
Saying this because if you have any precautions you need to take, make sure you get them done before tonight.
Saturday will be another cooler autumn day, with lows in the 50s.
Skies will initially be clear in the morning, as surface high pressure continues to hang out in the Ohio River Valley.
We will see some partly cloudy conditions creep in in the afternoon and evening, but no rain expected.
Lows into Sunday morning will crash into the low 30s, with some areas in the upper 20s being possible.
LONG TERM
(Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1044 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
A complicated pattern aloft will evolve into next work week, as an UL trough forms in the SW and treks across the south into mid-week.
It is a complex pattern with not a lot of model agreement currently, but we could get some rain out of it. We will see some warming into the upper 60s to low 70s for highs before this occurs, with lows remaining cold in the 30s and 40s.
Models suggest another cold push into the end of the week next week, continuing the fall temperatures and dropping them back into the 50s and 60s for highs with freezing morning lows.