By Nightfall
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 11:41 AM
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Lyrics
Look for medium to high rain chances this afternoon and into the evening. Monday and Tuesday look to be rain-free, then another soaking rainfall will arrive during the middle of the week. Warmest temperatures will occur on Tuesday, with a gradual cooling trend afterwards. The shortwave sweeps across the mid-state! Southwest Middle Tennessee drowns under one to three inches of rain! Moderate precipitation dragging through the column! High pressure follows the departure! BY NIGHTFALL! BY NIGHTFALL! BY NIGHTFALL! BY NIGHTFALL! THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL EXIT! BY NIGHTFALL! BY NIGHTFALL! BY NIGHTFALL! BY NIGHTFALL! BY NIGHTFALL! BY NIGHTFALL! BY NIGHTFALL! By nightfall. It all clears.
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1131 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
- Look for medium to high rain chances this afternoon and into the evening.
- Monday and Tuesday look to be rain-free, then another soaking rainfall will arrive during the middle of the week.
- Warmest temperatures will occur on Tuesday, with a gradual cooling trend afterwards.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1131 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
A broad area of light to moderate rainfall continues to impact the mid state as a shortwave makes its way across the region.
MRMS rainfall estimates show that a significant portion of southwest Middle Tennessee has received 1 to 3 inches of rainfall already, with lesser amounts occurring elsewhere.
The heaviest precipitation will exit the mid state by nightfall, but rain chances will still linger into the evening, mainly north of I-40. High pressure will follow behind the departing shortwave tomorrow, with a couple of rain-free days to start the new week.
LONG TERM
(Monday Night through next Sunday) Issued at 1131 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
A strong cold front and upper trough will begin to impact Middle Tennessee Tuesday night and especially Wednesday as another soaking rain spreads across the region.
Temperatures will peak in the mid and upper 70s most areas on Tuesday, then look for readings to gradually taper off to (or slightly below) seasonal norms by the end of the week.
No hazardous weather is expected anytime soon.
Hopefully the much-needed rainfall this week can at a minimum put the brakes on any further worsening of the drought.