Drown In The Sun
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 6:10 PM
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Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the work week. No rain is expected through at least Saturday morning, but the weather pattern will begin to shift this weekend. Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term. The ridge holds its grip over Middle Tennessee like a shroud of burning glass The satellite shows clouds moving to the northeast before they wither into nothing Temperatures climb relentlessly into the upper seventies beneath an open, merciless sky There is no hazardous weather expected, yet the land turns to ash before our eyes Day after day the stagnant air suffocates every seed left in the dirt The drought tightens its hold, a quiet apocalypse crawling through the dry timber The quiet heat consumes the hollow earth The unyielding ridge denies rebirth The atmosphere suffocates the land We drown in the sun By Saturday the upper ridge will flatten and break under heavy air Rain amounts west of Interstate sixty-five will reach above an inch and a half East of Interstate sixty-five the scorched ground will take only half an inch to an inch and a half Temperatures will drop briefly into the sixties on Sunday morning The National Blend of Models promises a shift, but the shift brings no salvation The rot is already deep within the soil, the earth is already consumed The quiet heat consumes the hollow earth The unyielding ridge denies rebirth The atmosphere suffocates the land We drown in the sun We drown in the sun The ridge collapses too late Nothing survives the unbroken sky
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 608 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026
- Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the work week.
- No rain is expected through at least Saturday morning, but the weather pattern will begin to shift this weekend.
- Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Thursday) Issued at 1037 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026
Some clouds around this morning on satellite, moving to the NE as we get into the afternoon.
No hazardous weather is expected for the short term period, with sunny and dry conditions.
Highs will continue to warm into the upper 70s, with the possibility of touching 80 degrees in the next few days.
Skies will continue to be mostly clear until we get into Friday, when clouds will build into Middle Tennessee ahead of a system on Saturday.
LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1037 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026
The ridge that has had its grip on us for the last little bit will flatten into this weekend, allowing some rain to finally visit Middle Tennessee.
Unfortunately, it also happens to be Halloween and into the next work week that this rain has decided to come.
Rain amounts for the period of Saturday through mid-week next week have come down a bit, but are still above an inch and a half in areas west of I-65. East of I-65, amounts are between half an inch and an inch and a half.
Most likely period for heaviest rainfall right now looks to be late Saturday night into Sunday morning, with another disturbance coming in on Monday.
Probabilities for rain during Trick or Treating time are less than 30% right now according to the NBM, but we will continue to monitor this time frame.
Temperatures will briefly drop into the 60s for highs on Sunday before warming back into the 70s for highs for the work week.
So our pattern of crisp mornings and warm afternoons is expected to continue, even if the pattern of dry and sunny is not.