Crisp Mornings
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 12:07 PM
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Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the work week. No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the weather pattern will begin to shift this weekend. Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term. Satellite shows clouds moving northeast! No relief for the land, no relief for the beast! Sunlight bakes the soil into stone! Highs creeping up into the upper seventies! The ridge holds strong, keeping us alone! We are dying for moisture, praying on our knees! Possibility of touching eighty degrees! EIGHTY DEGREES! EIGHTY DEGREES! EIGHTY DEGREES! Dust in our lungs, skies clear and high! Worsening drought under October sky! The heat holds on while the rivers run dry! Crisp mornings! WEST OF INTERSTATE SIXTY-FIVE! AN INCH AND A HALF WON'T SAVE US ALIVE! THE RIDGE IS FLATTENING! OPEN UP THE SKIES! EIGHTY DEGREES! EIGHTY DEGREES! EIGHTY DEGREES! Clouds build on Friday! Shift comes on Saturday! Drought in the near-term! Bleed it away!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1207 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026
- Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the work week.
- No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the weather pattern will begin to shift this weekend.
- Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Thursday) Issued at 1037 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026
Some clouds around this morning on satellite, moving to the NE as we get into the afternoon.
No hazardous weather is expected for the short term period, with sunny and dry conditions.
Highs will continue to warm into the upper 70s, with the possibility of touching 80 degrees in the next few days.
Skies will continue to be mostly clear until we get into Friday, when clouds will build into Middle Tennessee ahead of a system on Saturday.
LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1037 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026
The ridge that has had its grip on us for the last little bit will flatten into this weekend, allowing some rain to finally visit Middle Tennessee.
Unfortunately, it also happens to be Halloween and into the next work week that this rain has decided to come.
Rain amounts for the period of Saturday through mid-week next week have come down a bit, but are still above an inch and a half in areas west of I-65. East of I-65, amounts are between half an inch and an inch and a half.
Most likely period for heaviest rainfall right now looks to be late Saturday night into Sunday morning, with another disturbance coming in on Monday.
Probabilities for rain during Trick or Treating time are less than 30% right now according to the NBM, but we will continue to monitor this time frame.
Temperatures will briefly drop into the 60s for highs on Sunday before warming back into the 70s for highs for the work week.
So our pattern of crisp mornings and warm afternoons is expected to continue, even if the pattern of dry and sunny is not.