Status Quo
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 · 11:19 AM
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Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the work week. No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the weather pattern will begin to shift this weekend. Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term. The large upper-ridge dominates the continental United States Highs in the low to mid-seventies across Middle Tennessee Minimum relative humidity thirty to forty percent Patchy early morning fog in the mid-forties tonight Highs tomorrow in the seventies with dry air The upper-ridge will start to break down this weekend Appreciable rainfall seems probable by Sunday Until then the forecast remains status quo STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO! STATUS QUO!
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1100 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
- Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the work week.
- No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the weather pattern will begin to shift this weekend.
- Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Wednesday) Issued at 1100 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
The large upper-ridge continues to dominate the CONUS with above- normal temperatures across Middle TN. Today, expect highs in the low to mid-70s with few high clouds and little humidity.
Although this airmass is dry (minimum RHs 35-40%), a lack of wind will help mitigate fire weather concerns.
Tonight, temperatures will drop to the mid-40s to low-50s with another round of patchy early morning fog possible.
Tomorrow will be similar with highs in the 70s but with slightly lower minimum RHs in the 30-40% range.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1100 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
The forecast will remain status quo through the rest of the work week with warm afternoons, cool nights, and no precipitation.
The upper-ridge will start to break down this weekend, opening the door for a pattern shift across the region.
Rain chances will increase Saturday morning and peak on Sunday with additional rounds of precipitation possible into early next week.
There's a broad QPF range among guidance, but appreciable rainfall seems probable this weekend.