Appreciable Rain
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 · 5:56 AM
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Lyrics
Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the work week. No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the weather pattern will begin to shift next weekend. Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term. Zero zero zulu sounding out of Nashville shows high moisture in the sky Clouds rolling over Middle Tennessee, but low levels stay bone dry Temperatures falling through the evening air, overnight fog takes hold Afternoon relative humidity dropping down, the same dry story told Light winds keep the fire danger contained While the dry fuels burn in our veins Drought keeps digging its claws in deep Promises the forecast cannot keep! High pressure locked, the sun burns bright Waiting for the shift on Saturday night Break the ridge, tear the sky apart Unsettled pattern, make a start We need appreciable rain! Gradual warming through the end of the week, trapped in this dry domain Not a single drop through Friday night, locked in a world without rain Transition coming, the barrier breaks, active systems queued in line Second storm rolling in early next week, tearing down the high pressure shrine High pressure locked, the sun burns bright Waiting for the shift on Saturday night Break the ridge, tear the sky apart Unsettled pattern, make a start We need appreciable rain! Appreciable rain! Multiple days of rain! Break the high pressure down! We need appreciable rain!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 554 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
- Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the work week.
- No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the weather pattern will begin to shift next weekend.
- Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Wednesday Night) Issued at 1009 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
We're seeing a few more clouds across Middle Tennessee than past days, and the 00Z sounding from OHX does show considerable upper- level moisture.
Daytime highs were slightly lower than yesterday's readings, although the low/mid-levels remain very dry.
Once again, we're expecting areas of fog overnight as temperatures cool rapidly through the evening.
Looking ahead, expect continued low afternoon RH values, but winds will remain relatively light, so that will keep the fire danger contained despite the fact the fuels continue to dry out.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1009 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
Temperatures will gradually warm the remainder of the week as high pressure maintains its grips on our weather pattern.
Finally, this weekend, we expect the high pressure to break down as we transition to a more unsettled weather pattern.
Rain chances will develop on Saturday, with better rain chances Saturday night and into Sunday.
A second active weather system looks to impact the mid state early next week so that we'll have multiple days with appreciable rain chances.