Carbon Copy Evermore
Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 10:32 PM
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Lyrics
Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the week. No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the weather pattern will begin to shift next weekend. Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term. A surface ridge bisects Middle Tennessee! Winds going light and calm across the region! Temperatures dropping fast in the clear dark night! Perfect radiation cooling sets the trap! Widespread fog crawling across the ground! Dew point spreads shrink to near zero! ZERO MILES PER HOUR! ZERO MILES PER HOUR! ZERO MILES PER HOUR! LIGHT AND CALM! Afternoon relative humidity plummets low! Available fuels dry out with nowhere left to go! Another morning burning straight into the core! Carbon copy evermore! ELEVATED FIRE DANGER! MARGINAL CONCERN! THE RIDGE WILL FLATTEN OUT! HALLOWEEN RAIN CANNOT SAVE US NOW! ZERO MILES PER HOUR! ZERO MILES PER HOUR! ZERO MILES PER HOUR! DRY IT OUT! Carbon copy evermore! Carbon copy evermore! The drought continues to worsen! Carbon copy evermore!
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1024 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026
- Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the week.
- No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the weather pattern will begin to shift next weekend.
- Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday Night) Issued at 1024 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026
A surface ridge bisects Middle Tennessee this evening, with winds having gone light or calm across the region.
This means our evening temperatures are dropping quickly given the perfect radiation cooling conditions.
Once again, widespread fog is expected overnight as dew point spreads shrink to near zero.
And tomorrow looks to be a carbon copy of today.
Afternoon RH values will remain quite low, so there is some concern about an elevated fire danger given that available fuels continue to dry out, but surface winds will remain light throughout the week, so this will prevent the danger from become anything more than marginal.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 1024 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026
Temperatures will gradually warm throughout the week as high pressure maintains its dominance across Middle Tennessee.
By week's end, the upper ridge will flatten out, and this will enable us to transition a more unsettled weather pattern by the weekend.
At this time, it appears that our next rain chances will arrive on Halloween, but better rain chances will develop Saturday night and Sunday and continue into at least the early part of next week.
So while we expect drought continues to worsen even more this week, perhaps the increased probability of meaningful rainfall can at least put the breaks on any additional worsening after this week.