Likely Longer
Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 6:13 PM
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Updated at six thirteen P.M. Central Daylight Time Thursday October twenty-second twenty twenty-six. Mild sunny days and cool clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future. No rain is expected for at least the next seven days, and likely longer. Drought conditions are going to worsen. Ten twenty-six A.M.! Issued! Issued! Surface ridge locked! From Great Lakes to— To the Gulf! October twenty-two— Six thirteen P.M. timestamp— Extending down through Tennessee! Relative humidity— Dropping every afternoon— Light winds, but the grass is— It breaks! It snaps! Seven days of clear sky! Seven days of— Nothing! New England high pressure— Stalled out at— Ten twenty-six! Ten twenty-six! Heading into November and the— Potential is unclear! Unclear at this time! Cool crisp nights! Mild sunny days! The ground is starving— Starving! NO RAIN! SEVEN DAYS! EXTENDING TO THE GULF! WORSEN! WORSEN! The surface ridge blocks out the sky! Every afternoon is crisp and dry! No rain for seven days ahead! Likely longer! Likely longer! October twenty-two! Ten twenty-six A.M.! Nothing returns! Unclear! Unclear!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 613 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
- Mild sunny days and cool clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future.
- No rain is expected for at least the next 7 days, and likely longer.
- Drought conditions are going to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday) Issued at 1026 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
A very dry surface ridge centered over the Great Lakes and New England will continue to extend down across TN and all the way to the Gulf Coast through the next several days.
The pattern of cool crisp nights and mild sunny days will continue.
Very low RH values each afternoon will bring concerns for fires, but thankfully winds will be light.
LONG TERM
(Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 1026 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
The temperature trends and rain-free pattern will be stable through next week.
The ridge may weaken enough for some rain chances as we head into November, but this potential is unclear at this time.
Drought conditions will continue to worsen.