Ground Turns To Dust
Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 11:37 AM
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Mild sunny days and cool clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future. No rain is expected for at least the next seven days, and likely longer. Drought conditions are going to worsen. Sprawling ridge from the Great Lakes down Stretching all the way to Tennessee ground Cool crisp nights and a clear bright sun The riverbed is empty and the water is gone Surface high pressure holding on real tight Relative humidity dropping out of sight Light winds whisper through the dry oak tree Nothing in the sky to set the landscape free Air mass locked from the North to the Gulf Static grey soil and the grass turning rough No clouds form in the bleached out sky We watch the whole horizon dry We are standing in the heat while the reservoir shrinks Every single drop that we lose breaks the links Nothing in the forecast for the ones we trust We just wait in the silence while the ground turns to dust Stable trends straight through next week No relief in sight for the dry creek peak Maybe November breaks the wall Unclear potential for a single drop to fall Drought conditions worsen every single day Static ridge pattern blocking every storm away SEVEN No rain for seven days Likely longer No rain for seven days Drought gets stronger Locked to the Gulf Locked to the Gulf Burn it down Ground turns to dust Worsen Worsen Ground turns to dust
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1136 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
- Mild sunny days and cool clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future.
- No rain is expected for at least the next 7 days, and likely longer.
- Drought conditions are going to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday) Issued at 1026 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
A very dry surface ridge centered over the Great Lakes and New England will continue to extend down across TN and all the way to the Gulf Coast through the next several days.
The pattern of cool crisp nights and mild sunny days will continue.
Very low RH values each afternoon will bring concerns for fires, but thankfully winds will be light.
LONG TERM
(Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 1026 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
The temperature trends and rain-free pattern will be stable through next week.
The ridge may weaken enough for some rain chances as we head into November, but this potential is unclear at this time.
Drought conditions will continue to worsen.