Holds Its Ground
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 11:07 AM
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Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future. No rain is expected for at least the next seven days, and likely longer. Drought conditions are going to worsen. The sky is a silent vault. High pressure suffocates the east. Thursday morning brings the heavy shroud across Middle Tennessee! Widespread dense fog crawling over the frozen asphalt! Temperatures locked in the seventies while the morning low plunges to the forties! We are suffocating beneath a stagnant ridge of relentless sunlight! The earth cracks open under high pressure that refuses to yield! The sun will not show mercy! The sky refuses to bleed! High pressure holds its ground! No relief for seven days! No relief for seven weeks! The morning commutes lost in blinding white vapor! Above-average warmth decaying every living root! The soil turns to ash while the eastern sky holds us hostage! The drought is eternal! The fog buries the light! High pressure holds its ground! Holds its ground! Holds its ground!
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1107 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
- Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future.
- No rain is expected for at least the next 7 days, and likely longer.
- Drought conditions are going to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Thursday) Issued at 1107 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
Ridging continues to be the dominant feature of our forecast period, with sunny and warm conditions persisting into the weekend.
For the next few mornings, patchy dense fog will be possible across Middle Tennessee.
It looks like Thursday morning has the most potential to be more widespread than localized, so use caution on your morning commutes.
Otherwise, enjoy the sunshine and milder (yet still above- average) temperatures for the next few days.
LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1107 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
Dry and sunny conditions continue into mid-week next week as surface high pressure holds its ground in the eastern US. Stable temperatures in the 70s for highs and 40s for morning lows will persist through the end of the forecast period.
No notable chances for precipitation either, which means the drought is only going to get worse across the mid-state.