Scant Rain In Sight
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 6:26 AM
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Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future. No rain is expected for at least the next seven days, and likely longer. Drought conditions are going to worsen. Issued at ten-- Ten fifty-six P.M.! Central Daylight Time! Surface ridge sits north! Sliding slow across Middle Tennessee! At zero-- Twenty-four! Forty-eight hours out! Sunlight burning through six-- Six twenty-five A.M.! Day seven! Day ten! The National Blend of Models shows-- Scant! Scant probabilities! Atmosphere locked stable! At forty-eight-- Seventy-two hours! The moisture is zero! It cuts off mid-- Mid-thought! SEVEN DAYS! TEN DAYS! STABLE RIDGE! WORSEN! WORSEN! The ground is parched under endless light! The high pressure holds and the night turns cold! We look for relief past day ten but find-- Scant rain in sight! Scant rain in sight! Ten days! Zero rain!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 625 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
- Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future.
- No rain is expected for at least the next 7 days, and likely longer.
- Drought conditions are going to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday Night) Issued at 1056 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
A surface ridge remains situated to the north and west of Middle Tennessee this evening, and will take its time sliding across the region during the next couple of days.
The atmosphere will remain dry and stable, with abundant sunshine and no rain in sight.
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1056 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
The arid conditions are unlikely to improve any time soon.
Indeed, it is unclear when our next rain chances might occur.
The latest NBM has scant rain chances across the mid state even out through day 10. Temperatures will remain very stable throughout the 7-day forecast, with cool nights and mild afternoons.
Unfortunately, the drought conditions will continue to worsen.