Arid Conditions Remain
Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 11:04 PM
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Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future. No rain is expected for at least the next seven days, and likely longer. Drought conditions are going to worsen. Surface ridge north and west! Middle Tennessee locked down! High pressure taking time! Creeping over every town! Dry air! High ground! No water to be found! Atmosphere stable! Atmosphere locked! No moisture moving! The gates are blocked! National Blend of Models out to day ten! Zero percent chance again and again! No drop! No stain! Break the line! Break the chain! Arid conditions remain! Sliding across the state! Arid block holding tight! Sun beats down by day! Cool air chills by night! Scant chances! Scant hope! Drying on a steep slope! Lock down the ridge! Hold the line! Ten days clear! No drop in time! Arid! Stable! Ground turns to stone! No drop! No stain! Break the line! Break the chain! Arid conditions remain! Day ten! Scant rain! Arid conditions remain! Arid conditions remain!
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1056 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
- Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future.
- No rain is expected for at least the next 7 days, and likely longer.
- Drought conditions are going to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday Night) Issued at 1056 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
A surface ridge remains situated to the north and west of Middle Tennessee this evening, and will take its time sliding across the region during the next couple of days.
The atmosphere will remain dry and stable, with abundant sunshine and no rain in sight.
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1056 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
The arid conditions are unlikely to improve any time soon.
Indeed, it is unclear when our next rain chances might occur.
The latest NBM has scant rain chances across the mid state even out through day 10. Temperatures will remain very stable throughout the 7-day forecast, with cool nights and mild afternoons.
Unfortunately, the drought conditions will continue to worsen.