240 Hours Dry
Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 6:36 PM
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Cool nights and mild days through the week. Highs mainly in the seventies, maybe some lower eighties late week. Dry pattern for the rest of the month with drought conditions worsening. TEN THIRTY-SEVEN A.M. IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE! CLEAR SKIES AND COOL-ISH AIR CANNOT SET US FREE! IF YOU CAME HERE LOOKING FOR RELIEF TODAY! YOU HAVE COME TO THE WRONG PLACE TO WASH IT AWAY! TEMPERATURES A COUPLE DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR NOW! BUT THE ATMOSPHERE IS BENDING AND WE DON'T KNOW HOW! THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN HIGH! ACROSS THE MID-MISSISSIPPI AND THE OHIO SKY! MORNINGS IN THE FORTIES CANNOT HIDE THE DROUGHT! WE ARE HURTING ALREADY AND THE WATER IS OUT! The ridge is locked above the valley floor We wait for clouds that never cross the door Ten days of dust beneath October light 240 hours dry MID TO UPPER SEVENTIES IN THE AFTERNOON HEAT! NO RECORD BREAKING NUMBERS BUT WE FEEL THE DEFEAT! LIGHT WINDS MITIGATE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT! BUT YOU BETTER THINK TWICE BEFORE YOU SPARK WHAT IS LEFT! DRY PATTERN PARKS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GROUND! AND NOT A SINGLE DROP OF RAIN IS EVER FOUND! TWO HUNDRED FORTY HOURS IN THE GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM MODEL! TWO HUNDRED FORTY HOURS IN THE EUROPEAN MODEL! NO RAIN IN SIGHT! WE ARE HURTING ALREADY AND THE SUN STANDS STILL! MAYBE NOVEMBER WILL BREAK THIS HILL! MAYBE NOVEMBER BRINGS THE WATER DOWN! The ridge is locked above the valley floor We wait for clouds that never cross the door Ten days of dust beneath October light 240 hours dry NO RAIN IN SIGHT! WORSENING DROUGHT! MAYBE NOVEMBER SAVES US ALL! 240 hours dry!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 633 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
- Cool nights and mild days through the week.
Highs mainly in the 70s, maybe some lower 80s late week.
- Dry pattern for the rest of the month with drought conditions worsening.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1037 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
Clear skies and wonderfully cool-ish temperatures across all of Middle TN at forecast time.
With a little breeze, fall has arrived.
However, it is October and that means dreadfully dry conditions and if you came here looking for relief in that category, you've come to the wrong place.
Through Monday, dry conditions are expected with temperatures a couple of degrees below normal.
LONG TERM
(Monday Night through next Sunday) Issued at 1037 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
As Tuesday rolls around, we'll start to see the effects of strengthening upper level ridging across the mid-Mississippi and Ohio valleys.
Temperatures will start to climb a few degrees above normal and will likely stay there for several days.
No record breaking heat, but mid to upper 70s will be common in the afternoon along with cool mornings mainly in the 40s.
The other thing that will be common is the lack of rain. 240 hours in the GFS and Euro and no rain in sight.
This means worsening drought conditions when we're already hurting.
Light winds throughout the forecast should mitigate any real fire weather concerns, but you may want to start thinking twice before initiating any outdoor fires for a while.
Maybe November will bring much needed rain.