Dreadfully Dry
Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 6:07 PM
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Lyrics
Cool nights and mild days through the week. Highs mainly in the seventies, maybe some lower eighties late week. Dry pattern for the rest of the month with drought conditions worsening. Clear skies over Middle Tennessee Cool morning air sitting in the forties Fall has finally arrived with a gentle breeze Temperatures a couple degrees below normal Upper level ridging starts to strengthen over the valley It feels almost peaceful out here It feels like relief But you came to the wrong place for help The Global Forecast System model shows nothing The European model shows nothing Ten days ahead and not a single drop The moisture is gone The soil is breaking apart Two hundred forty hours on the run And the drought keeps worsening under the sun No hope on the radar screen We are dreadfully dry! Think twice before you light the fire! Think twice! Upper level ridging holding us down! Maybe November brings the rain! Maybe November! No rain. We are dreadfully dry.
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 606 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
- Cool nights and mild days through the week.
Highs mainly in the 70s, maybe some lower 80s late week.
- Dry pattern for the rest of the month with drought conditions worsening.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1037 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
Clear skies and wonderfully cool-ish temperatures across all of Middle TN at forecast time.
With a little breeze, fall has arrived.
However, it is October and that means dreadfully dry conditions and if you came here looking for relief in that category, you've come to the wrong place.
Through Monday, dry conditions are expected with temperatures a couple of degrees below normal.
LONG TERM
(Monday Night through next Sunday) Issued at 1037 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
As Tuesday rolls around, we'll start to see the effects of strengthening upper level ridging across the mid-Mississippi and Ohio valleys.
Temperatures will start to climb a few degrees above normal and will likely stay there for several days.
No record breaking heat, but mid to upper 70s will be common in the afternoon along with cool mornings mainly in the 40s.
The other thing that will be common is the lack of rain. 240 hours in the GFS and Euro and no rain in sight.
This means worsening drought conditions when we're already hurting.
Light winds throughout the forecast should mitigate any real fire weather concerns, but you may want to start thinking twice before initiating any outdoor fires for a while.
Maybe November will bring much needed rain.