Zero Rain
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 10:52 AM
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Lyrics
Gusty north winds of twenty-five miles per hour to thirty miles per hour this morning decreasing later this afternoon. Gradual warming trend next week with Highs in the seventies with possible eighties by the tail end of the week. Dry weather expected for the rest of the month with drought conditions worsening. Highs in the fifties and low sixties today. Gusty northerly winds dying down as night falls. Patchy frost tonight in quiet valleys. The sun is full, but the air is cold. Sunday brings mid to upper sixties under clear skies. A picture-perfect illusion of autumn. Then the warm air sneaks back in from the south. Highs in the seventies, lows in the forties all week long. The high pressure sits stagnant overhead. The ridge of stability blocks every cloud. No front can break through this wall. The upper ridge locks in high pressure. No storm will cross Middle Tennessee. The sky stays clear while the ground cracks deep. Zero rain. EIGHTY DEGREES BY THE TAIL END OF THE WEEK! NO MEASURABLE RAINFALL FOR THE REST OF THE MONTH! DROUGHT CONDITIONS WORSENING! Zero rain. Rest of the month. Drought conditions worsening.
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1017 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026
- Gusty north winds of 25mph-30mph this morning decreasing later this afternoon.
- Gradual warming trend next week with Highs in the 70s with possible 80s by the tail end of the week.
- Dry weather expected for the rest of the month with drought conditions worsening.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Sunday) Issued at 1017 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026
Well hello fall!
You finally showed up! The real first taste of something other than record heat might make it feel actually chilly out there even with full sunshine today.
Highs in the 50s and low 60s with gusty northerly winds can be expected today with winds decreasing in speed during the afternoon and evening hours.
A few areas of patchy frost may develop tonight once those winds die down, but Sunday is shaping up to be a picture perfect fall day with sunny skies and Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
LONG TERM
(Sunday Night through next Saturday) Issued at 1017 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026
Sunday Night will bring another chance for patchy frost before a gradual warm up is expected through the work week.
Full sunshine, zero chances for rain, and Highs in the 70s with Lows in the 40s can be expected all week.
In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if a few locations toward the end of next week approach 80+ degrees for Highs.
Taking a look at long-range models, High Pressure/upper ridge will remain in full control over the Southeast and no significant measurable rainfall really looks to impact Middle Tennessee through the rest of the month.
Great for fall outdoor festivities, not- so- great for our ever-increasing concern for drought conditions.