Break Out Those Jackets
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 12:25 AM
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Lyrics
A breezy cold front will arrive Friday morning, bringing much cooler temperatures for the weekend. The Cumberland Plateau and low lying areas west of the Plateau will see the first light frost of the season early Sunday morning. There are only very low rain chances with the front on Friday and no rain chances after Friday, so drought conditions are expected to worsen. Friday morning strutting in with overcast skies Got a cold front knocking while the high pressure dies Up on the Kentucky and Tennessee line A few hundredths of rain, man, I am feeling fine From the mid-sixties northwest to mid-seventies southeast This air mass is shifting like a beautiful beast Moisture deprived, completely bone dry Drought is getting worse under a cold October sky Temperatures dropping to the thirties and forties fast You thought summer stuck around? Na, that heat didn't last! Yeah the front's rolling in and it's moisture deprived No rain coming down, only frost will survive On the Cumberland Plateau when the morning wind snaps Yeah you better break out those jackets! Saturday morning hits with a swagger and a chill Mercury dropping right off the edge of the hill No meaningful rainfall coming to quench the dry ground Just cold breezy air blowing through every town Strutting through the drought with a raspy old grin Watch the first light frost come settling in Moisture deprived, completely bone dry Drought is getting worse under a cold October sky Temperatures dropping to the thirties and forties fast You thought summer stuck around? Na, that heat didn't last! Yeah the front's rolling in and it's moisture deprived No rain coming down, only frost will survive On the Cumberland Plateau when the morning wind snaps Yeah you better break out those jackets! Break out those jackets! Thirties and forties! No rain coming down! Yeah, break out those jackets!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1221 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026
- A breezy cold front will arrive Friday morning, bringing much cooler temperatures for the weekend.
- The Cumberland Plateau and low lying areas west of the Plateau will see the first light frost of the season early Sunday morning.
- There are only very low rain chances with the front on Friday and no rain chances after Friday, so drought conditions are expected to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Saturday Night) Issued at 1039 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026
Friday will be more overcast than today was with the arrival of the cold front to our doorstep.
Even though the cold front is mostly deprived of moisture, there is a low chance for some showers on the KY/TN state line.
Not looking at any meaningful QPF with these chances, but a few hundredths are possible.
Highs tomorrow will be varied over the area: in the mid 60s in the NW to the mid 70s in the SE.
The real change in air mass will be felt Saturday morning and into the weekend.
Highs will be in the 60s, with morning lows in the 30s and 40s.
So break out those jackets if you haven't already, you'll be needing them this weekend.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Friday) Issued at 1039 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026
The colder airmass will have some spots on the Cumberland Plateau looking at their first frost of the season Sunday morning.
After the cold front passes, high pressure will settle in for the work week, unfortunately warming our temperatures back into the upper 70s by mid week.
Fortunately, we look to stay around seasonal normals for temperatures, and not get as anomalously warm as we were this week.
The forecast has no precipitation after Sunday, so this is bad news for the ongoing drought in Middle Tennessee.