Tenth of an Inch
Tuesday, October 13, 2026 · 10:32 PM
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Warm weather through Thursday with high temperatures well above normal. Record highs possible through Thursday. Medium to high rain and storm chances Wednesday afternoon and evening, primarily for areas north of Interstate forty. A cold front will arrive on Friday bringing much cooler temperatures into this weekend. Warm air advection into Middle Tennessee High pressure locked in, won't set us free Clear skies burning through the mid-week sun Another record high, another desperate run Sixties in the night, low nineties in the day The heat keeps rolling while we fade away Fifty to seventy percent chance on the line Searching the sky for a thunderstorm sign All this instability trapped in the sky Watch the northwest rain as the afternoon goes by The ground is dry, the heat is a vice We pay the heavy record-breaking price Searching for the rain on a summer-steeped bench Just give me a tenth of an inch! North of Interstate forty the moisture creeps While the rest of the southland suffocates and sleeps Low probability of a thunder clash Abnormal instability waiting for the crash A cold front lingering behind the midnight air Friday brings the drop, but right now we burn bare The ground is dry, the heat is a vice We pay the heavy record-breaking price Searching for the rain on a summer-steeped bench Just give me a tenth of an inch! A tenth of an inch! North of Interstate forty! Give me a tenth of an inch! Before the front comes down!
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1032 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026
- Warm weather through Thursday with high temperatures well above-normal.
Record highs possible through Thursday.
- Medium to high rain/storm chances Wednesday afternoon and evening, primarily for areas north of I-40.
- A cold front will arrive on Friday bringing much cooler temperatures into this weekend.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday Night) Issued at 1032 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026
Once again, high pressure is resulting in clear to mostly clear skies for the next few days.
Unfortunately, this also means we will continue to make runs at temperature records through mid-week as warm air advection continues into Middle Tennessee.
Expect low temperatures tonight in the 60s, with another warm day on tap for Wednesday.
There are some decent rain chances in the forecast, especially north of I-40. While a wetting rain is more likely (50-70% chance of at least a tenth of an inch), there is a low chance of seeing at least half an inch of rain in the northwest part of our area (20-30%).
There's a low probability of a thunderstorm, but given all the instability from the abnormally warm temperatures, it can't be totally ruled out.
Highs will once again be in the mid to upper 80s and the low 90s.
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1032 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026
A cold front that lags behind the mid-week moisture is expected to swing through at the end of the weekend give us a real taste of fall.
We're looking at highs in the 60s/70s and lows in the 30s and 40s for the weekend.
Sunday morning, we could see our first frost of the season on the Cumberland Plateau.
Sadly, it will only be a taste of fall, as the return of clearer skies will also bring back the heat.
Highs by mid-week next week will creep back up into the upper 70s.