A Taste of Fall
Tuesday, October 13, 2026 · 12:09 AM
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Lyrics
Warm, dry weather through Thursday with high temperatures well above-normal. Record highs possible through Thursday. Low rain or storm chances Wednesday and Wednesday night, primarily for areas north of Interstate forty. A cold front will arrive on Friday bringing much cooler temperatures into this weekend. Ten thirty-five P.M.! Ten thirty-five! Issued at ten— ten thirty-five P.M. Central Daylight Time! Lows in the fifties! Lows in the low sixties! High pressure builds— builds in for the time being! Southwesterly flow— ushering warm air! Ushering! Crushing records! What is a few more? What is a few— A front stretching— stretching all the way up to Maine! Ohio River Valley! North of Interstate forty— wetting rain! Not drought busting! Eight hundred fifty millibar temperatures— dropping by fifteen! Fifteen degrees Celsius! SURFACE HIGHS IN THE SIXTIES! LOWS IN THE THIRTIES AND FORTIES! CUMBERLAND PLATEAU! SUNDAY MORNING FROST! HERE TO STAY! We make another run— The ridge won't hold! Swinging through at the end of the week! Give me A Taste of Fall! Hope that this time— hope that this time— it is here to stay! Here to stay! Fall is here!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1208 AM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026
- Warm, dry weather through Thursday with high temperatures well above-normal.
Record highs possible through Thursday.
- Low rain/storm chances Wednesday and Wednesday night, primarily for areas north of I-40.
- A cold front will arrive on Friday bringing much cooler temperatures into this weekend.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Wednesday Night) Issued at 1035 PM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Clear skies and lows in the 50s and low 60s tonight across Middle Tennessee.
High pressure will continue to build in for the time being, resulting in clear to mostly clear skies.
Unfortunately, this also means we will continue to make runs at temperature records through mid-week.
This is because as the ridging builds in, southwesterly flow will increase over the next few days, ushering in more warm air into the area.
We crushed a record today in Nashville, and matched one in Crossville, so what's a few more, right?
LONG TERM
(Thursday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1035 PM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Once we get into mid-week, we start seeing the return of (low) rain chances.
A front stretching all the way up to a low pressure system in Maine will start to make its way into the Ohio river valley, which will increase our rain chances north of I-40. These aren't drought busting rain chances by any means, but enough for some areas to see some wetting rain.
What's more eye-catching is the cold front that lags behind this moisture and is expected to swing through at the end of the week.
This cold front is looking like a real taste of fall, dropping our 850mb temperatures by 15 degrees Celsius.
At the surface, that translates to highs in the 60s/70s and lows in the 30s and 40s for the weekend.
Sunday morning, we could see our first frost of the season on the Cumberland Plateau.
We will have to keep watching and hope that this time, fall is here to stay.