Draped to the South
Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 12:07 AM
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Cloudy and cooler through Sunday with low to medium chances for showers Sunday along the Cumberland Plateau. Drier conditions are expected Monday through at least Friday with low rain chances returning next weekend. Ha-ha! Oh yeah! Whoa! Count it down! Central Alabama, you ready for this? Well, low stratus is blanketing Middle Tennessee tonight, Patchy fog on the Plateau, holding real tight. Over central Alabama, there's a sneaky little line, A stationary boundary just biding its time! Yeah, it's sitting real quiet, waiting for the wave, A shortwave coming through, misbehaving and brave! Low chance of rain across the southern zone, We're taking this spectacle and making it our own! Look out baby, here comes the shortwave! Low stratus clouds, got nowhere to run! Highs in the seventies to near eighty, With that stationary boundary draped to the south! Sunday morning hits and the boundary starts to lift, Giving all the southeastern counties a playful little gift! Scattered showers popping up, maybe a thunder rumble too, No severe weather coming, just a show for me and you! Clearing out from west to east while the sun begins to play, Then a front swings south on Monday just to sweep the rest away! Yeah! Drier air is rolling in, mostly sunny, feeling great! Look out baby, here comes the shortwave! Low stratus clouds, got nowhere to run! Highs in the seventies to near eighty, With that stationary boundary draped to the south! Look out baby, here comes the shortwave! Low stratus clouds, got nowhere to run! Highs in the seventies to near eighty, With that stationary boundary draped to the south! Draped to the south! Ha-ha! Seventies to near eighty! Mostly sunny Monday, baby! Whoa! Adios, stratus! Yeah!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1158 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
- Cloudy and cooler through Sunday with low to medium chances for showers Sunday along the Cumberland Plateau.
- Drier conditions are expected Monday through at least Friday with low rain chances returning next weekend.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Monday Night) Issued at 1052 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
Low stratus is blanketing Middle TN this evening and will continue to do so through most of the day Sunday.
Meanwhile, a stationary boundary is draped to our south over central AL. Overall, a fairly quiet night looks to be ahead with a low chance for rain across southern Middle TN and the Plateau.
Patchy fog is also possible tonight into early Monday morning, particularly across the Plateau.
For Sunday, a shortwave moves through the area, and the stationary boundary lifts north.
This will cause scattered showers with a low chance for a few thunderstorms across the southeast part of the area, but no severe weather is expected.
Cloud cover will gradually clear from west to east, but it'll still be a cooler day with highs in the 70s to near 80.
A front then swings south through the area early Monday, ushering in drier air.
Monday will be a gorgeous day with highs in the 70s to near 80 and mostly sunny skies.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1052 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
A very quiet week is then upcoming.
High temperatures will gradually warm through the week with readings returning to the mid-80s.
Low temperatures will generally be in the upper-40s to mid-50s.
No rain in sight through at least Friday.
More uncertainty in the forecast for this weekend as models show a storm system approaching from the west.
This far out, confidence is low in any details.
For now, it is enough for low rain chances in the forecast late Saturday into Sunday.
Stay tuned.