Clearing West To East
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 10:56 PM
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Cloudy and cooler through Sunday with low to medium chances for showers Sunday along the Cumberland Plateau. Drier conditions are expected Monday through at least Friday with low rain chances returning next weekend. Low stratus is blanketing Middle Tennessee this evening. A stationary boundary draped to our south over central Alabama. A fairly quiet night ahead. Whispers in the overcast canopy. Patchy fog setting in across the Plateau into early Monday morning. Cooler temperatures sitting quietly in the seventies to near eighty. We watch the shortwave slowly track across the southeast. The boundary lifts north! Scattered showers forming on the edge! A front swings south early Monday morning! Drier air is coming! Drier air is coming! Low stratus covers everything we know! The shortwave moves, the clouds begin to go! Break through the gray, tear off the heavy sheet! Clearing west to east! NO SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED! USHERING IN DRIER AIR! MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES! A VERY QUIET WEEK UPCOMING! Highs in the seventies to near eighty. Clearing west to east.
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1052 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
- Cloudy and cooler through Sunday with low to medium chances for showers Sunday along the Cumberland Plateau.
- Drier conditions are expected Monday through at least Friday with low rain chances returning next weekend.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Monday Night) Issued at 1052 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
Low stratus is blanketing Middle TN this evening and will continue to do so through most of the day Sunday.
Meanwhile, a stationary boundary is draped to our south over central AL. Overall, a fairly quiet night looks to be ahead with a low chance for rain across southern Middle TN and the Plateau.
Patchy fog is also possible tonight into early Monday morning, particularly across the Plateau.
For Sunday, a shortwave moves through the area, and the stationary boundary lifts north.
This will cause scattered showers with a low chance for a few thunderstorms across the southeast part of the area, but no severe weather is expected.
Cloud cover will gradually clear from west to east, but it'll still be a cooler day with highs in the 70s to near 80.
A front then swings south through the area early Monday, ushering in drier air.
Monday will be a gorgeous day with highs in the 70s to near 80 and mostly sunny skies.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1052 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
A very quiet week is then upcoming.
High temperatures will gradually warm through the week with readings returning to the mid-80s.
Low temperatures will generally be in the upper-40s to mid-50s.
No rain in sight through at least Friday.
More uncertainty in the forecast for this weekend as models show a storm system approaching from the west.
This far out, confidence is low in any details.
For now, it is enough for low rain chances in the forecast late Saturday into Sunday.
Stay tuned.