A Quiet Night Ahead
Monday, September 7, 2026 · 12:19 AM
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Low rain chances for areas east of Interstate sixty-five Monday afternoon. Above normal temperatures with highs generally in the nineties expected through the week. Dry Tuesday and Wednesday, but rain chances increase Thursday. Middle Tennessee stands frozen in the rift Between the western high and the eastern troff Light northerly winds across the Plateau drift A quiet night before the heat breaks off Patchy fog creeps softly through the dark As Labor Day awakens with a burning mark A weak embedded disturbance crawls the sky Temperatures rising as the hours die The ridge shifts back over the southern land The prophecy written in the scorching sand! Between the high and the eastern sky The heat returns, the well runs dry No shelter left, no place to hide A quiet night ahead! Tuesday arrives under a heavy crown Upper eighties on the Plateau, nineties down below The high pressure traps the entire town No rain will fall, no soothing winds will blow We wait for Thursday for the front to break How much more heat can the valley take? Between the high and the eastern sky The heat returns, the well runs dry No shelter left, no place to hide A quiet night ahead! High pressure overhead! No escape from the nineties heat! A quiet night ahead! A quiet night ahead!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1219 AM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026
- Low rain chances for areas east of I-65 Monday afternoon.
- Above normal temperatures with highs generally in the 90s expected through the week.
- Dry Tuesday & Wednesday, but rain chances increase Thursday.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday Night) Issued at 1020 PM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026
Overall, a quiet night is ahead with mostly clear skies and light northerly winds.
This does give a low chance for patchy fog tonight, particularly across the Plateau.
For Monday, Middle TN remains between high pressure to the west and troughing over the east.
A weak embedded disturbance gives a low chance for rain & storms for areas east of I-65 during the afternoon.
But for most, it'll be a dry Labor Day with temperatures a little cooler than recent days.
But high temperatures in the low-90s will still run above normal.
By Tuesday, the aforementioned high shifts back over the southeastern US and temperatures will warm in response.
Look for highs on Tuesday to be in the upper-80s for the Plateau and into the low and mid-90s elsewhere.
With the high overhead, it'll be a dry day.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 1020 PM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026
The high remains in place on Wednesday, leading to another dry day and highs in the 90s for most of the area.
We'll have to wait until Thursday for a pattern change as troughing to the north suppresses the high and sends a front south.
Moisture will be streaming into the area ahead of this front, and rain chances continue to trend up with each forecast package for Thursday and now range from about 40 to 60 percent.
Forecast soundings don't show much to be concerned with right now with very poor lapse rates and shear less than 30 knots.
Low to medium rain chances will linger Friday and into the weekend.
As far as temperatures go, they'll cool some late week, but will still be above normal.