Watch For Gusty Winds

Tuesday, August 25, 2026 · 10:51 PM

Cover art for Watch For Gusty Winds

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Low to medium shower and thunderstorm chances return Wednesday late morning into Thursday. Currently no severe weather expected, but watch for gusty winds.
Temperatures from Wednesday through the weekend will stay close to seasonal norms.
Hot and dry next week with highs in the low to mid nineties.

Well, surface high pressure slid off to the east,
Now the dew points are climbing like a hungry little beast!
Mid-seventies moisture sneaks into the air,
With a slick little shortwave spinning outta nowhere!
Spinning round that Four Corners ridge so high,
Bringing southerly flow to the Tennessee sky!
West of Interstate sixty-five, get ready to roll,
Got twenty-five knots that are outta control! 

Over one thousand joules per kilogram rise!
Poor lapse rates cooking up a little surprise!
Ain't no severe threat, but listen to me, child,
Along the Tennessee River things are gonna get wild!
Whoa! Yeah!
Watch for gusty winds!

Now a Great Lakes troff comes digging on down,
Pushing a weak cold front right into town!
Wednesday night scattered storms popping up late,
Under fifteen knots shear, man, it's gotta be fate!
Marginal forcing, but we don't even care,
We got high-energy heat blowing through the air!
Upper eighties to nineties, it's a spectacle, see?
Just a ringmaster running this storm galaxy! 

Over one thousand joules per kilogram rise!
Poor lapse rates cooking up a little surprise!
Ain't no severe threat, but listen to me, child,
Along the Tennessee River things are gonna get wild!
Whoa! Yeah!
Watch for gusty winds!

Over one thousand joules per kilogram rise!
Poor lapse rates cooking up a little surprise!
Ain't no severe threat, but listen to me, child,
Along the Tennessee River things are gonna get wild!
Whoa! Yeah!
Watch for gusty winds!

Lingering on the Plateau Thursday night!
Then the ridge pushes east in the blinding light!
Mid-nineties coming next week, my friends!
 That's right!
Watch for gusty winds!

The forecast discussion

NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1050 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

- Low to medium shower and thunderstorm chances return Wednesday late morning into Thursday.

Currently no severe weather expected, but watch for gusty winds.

- Temperatures from Wednesday through the weekend will stay close to seasonal norms.

- Hot and dry next week with highs in the low to mid 90s.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday Night) Issued at 1050 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

Surface high pressure has slid off to our northeast but it will continue to influence our weather for the early part of Wednesday.

We will start the day out with the lower humidity but unfortunately the humidity will be returning by the afternoon with dew points pushing into the upper 60s to mid 70s.

A short wave will spin around the upper level ridge set up over the Four Corners Region and that will bring the return of southerly flow.

This short wave will also bring scattered thunderstorms late morning into the afternoon mainly to the west of I-65. Bulk shear near the TN River will be 25 knots falling off to around 15 knots as you approach Nashville.

Afternoon CAPE will make it above 1000 j/kg with overall poor lapse rates.

This will keep the severe threat very low but can't rule out gusty winds with any more developed storms near the TN River.

Highs will push into the upper 80s to lower 90s.

An upper level trough digging into the Great Lakes will then push a weakening cold front south Wednesday night into Thursday.

This will bring another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms Wednesday night.

Shear will be under 15 knots and CAPE will be under 500 j/kg with marginal forcing.

This will keep the severe threat near zero.

Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible Thursday afternoon as we remain in a troughing pattern.

Shear will be near 20 knots with around 1000 j/kg but forcing will be marginal at best.

This will keep the severe threat low.

A few showers may linger overnight Thursday over the Plateau, otherwise dry.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1050 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

Late week into the weekend the strong upper level ridge over the Four Corners Region will start to push east.

This will bring the return of dry weather.

Highs will stay in the upper 80s to lower 90s Friday into the weekend.

The upper level ridge will build east early next week and that will warm highs into the low to mid 90s.

The upper level ridge will linger over the region into the middle part of next week with conditions remaining hot and overall dry.