Anemic Rain
Monday, August 24, 2026 · 6:08 AM
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Look for dry, cooler evening and overnight periods through Tuesday morning. Fog is possible across the river valleys each morning. Low to medium rain and storm chances return Wednesday and Wednesday night, then taper off on Thursday. But no hazardous weather is expected at this time. Temperatures from Wednesday through the weekend will stay close to seasonal norms, then perhaps a little warmer to start off next week. Dew points dropping fast, clear sky night, High pressure gripping the Midwest tight. Radiational chill on the valley floor, Northwest flow aloft, blocking out the roar. No convective energy, no storm threat near, Just a quiet ridge keeping radar clear! Arklatex surface low tries to crawl, Dragging a boundary against the wall! Low to medium probability hits the floor, We get nothing! Nothing! Nothing more! High pressure locks the valley down, Static cold upon the ground! Wednesday comes but brings no strain, Just anemic rain! Quantitative precipitation forecast hits zero point zero, Model consensus making dry air the hero! Gulf coast boundary weak and frayed, No severe risk in the plans we made! Tapering off by Thursday day, Washed out values slip away! Zero! No hazardous weather! Seasonal norms! No hazardous weather! Anemic! Anemic! Temperatures hold through the weekend line. Warmer next week. Drying out fine. Anemic rain.
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 608 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026
- Look for dry, cooler evening and overnight periods through Tuesday morning.
Fog is possible across the river valleys each morning.
- Low to medium rain and storm chances return Wednesday and Wednesday night, then taper off on Thursday.
But no hazardous weather is expected at this time.
- Temperatures from Wednesday through the weekend will stay close to seasonal norms, then perhaps a little warmer to start off next week.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday Night) Issued at 953 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
Temperatures are cooling off quite nicely this evening and low dew points are allowing for excellent radiation cooling across Middle Tennessee.
We've got couple of cool nights in store, along with non-existent rain chances the next couple of days.
This evening, high pressure centered over the upper midwest is keeping the air mass over Middle Tennessee dry and a little cooler than seasonal norms, while we remain underneath a northwest flow aloft with ridging situated to our west.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 953 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
Our next rain chances start to develop on Wednesday as a surface low comes together over the Arklatex and develops a boundary across the Gulf Coast states and into the Tennessee Valley.
It's not a lot to work with, but we do introduce low to medium PoPs Wednesday and Wednesday night, with rain chances tapering off on Thursday as the system pulls off to the east.
Although there will be some storm chances, QPF values are somewhat anemic, and we certainly aren't outlooked for any severe storms for the foreseeable future.
Temperatures will warm up to seasonal values by Wednesday, with readings staying close to seasonal norms through the weekend, then warming up a bit to start off next week.