This Damn Heat Is Killing Me!
Wednesday, August 5, 2026 · 6:20 PM

Lyrics
Issued at eleven twenty AM CDT! An upper level low is trapped over the eastern state! Scattered showers along the Plateau! Weak lapse rates! Weak lapse rates! No severe storms are expected today! Most activity dies with the sunset! Fog forms in the wet soil overnight! WE ARE IN THE BRIDGE ZONE! BETWEEN A STRONG BERMUDA HIGH AND A HOT WESTERN RIDGE! HEAT INDEX ONE HUNDRED TO ONE HUNDRED AND FIVE! POP-UP AFTERNOON STORMS! SEASONABLY WARM! HUMIDITY RISES! THERE IS NO ESCAPE FROM THIS AUGUST HEAT! The upper low gets swept away by the weekend! Coverage thirty to sixty percent for the Plateau! Twenty to thirty percent west of the divide! Gusty winds! Heavy downpours! Unremarkable August weather! Unremarkable! Unremarkable! Heat risk levels two to three out of four! Two to three out of four! Degrees above normal! Peak index pushing past one hundred! I am drowning in thirty to sixty percent probability! WE ARE IN THE BRIDGE ZONE! BETWEEN A STRONG BERMUDA HIGH AND A HOT WESTERN RIDGE! HEAT INDEX ONE HUNDRED TO ONE HUNDRED AND FIVE! POP-UP AFTERNOON STORMS! SEASONABLY WARM! HUMIDITY RISES! THERE IS NO ESCAPE FROM THIS AUGUST HEAT! Die off with sunset! Die off with sunset! Heat index one hundred five! Near normal temperatures! UNREMARKABLE!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 618 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
- Scattered afternoon showers and storms each day.
Highest chances over the Cumberland Plateau with low chances west of the Plateau.
- No severe weather is expected, but a few storms may produce gusty winds and heavy downpours.
- Gradually getting warmer and more humid with heat index values climbing over 100 most days this weekend through next week.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Thursday) Issued at 1120 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
The key messages tell it all with an unremarkable forecast for typical August weather.
An upper level low that has been set up for several days over the eastern part of the state will keep scattered showers and isolated storms going today and again Thursday, especially along and near the Plateau.
No severe storms are expected with weak lapse rates.
Most activity will die off with sunset.
Areas of fog will form overnight, especially for locations that receive rain.
Otherwise, temperatures will be near normal.
LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1120 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
The upper low will weaken and get swept away by the weekend.
We will then be within a bridge zone between a strong Bermuda high and a strong, hot western ridge.
This will keep our temperatures seasonably warm - maybe a degree or 2 above normal.
This pattern will also keep conditions humid with pop-up showers and storms each afternoon.
For the most part, chances/coverage will continue to be highest (30 to 60 percent) for the Plateau and generally low (20 to 30 percent) for areas west of the Plateau.
No severe storms are expected, but gusty winds and heavy downpours will occur with some storms.
Heat risk levels will be in the 2-3 range (out of 4) with peak heat index values pushing mostly into the 100-105 range.