Less Than One Inch
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 5:51 AM
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Lyrics
Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the work week. No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the weather pattern will begin to shift this weekend. Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term. Clear skies deceive the parched and hollow land Crisp wake-up mornings shivering in the forties Sunlight burns warm into the upper seventies We touch near eighty at B-N-A while soil turns to sand Four days of quiet under light and tranquil winds A false serene before the reckoning begins The Global Forecast System saw the omen four days back The European model twelve zulu run falls into line After midnight the boundary comes down the track The National Blend of Models gives no sign The prophecy is signed in dust The heavens offer no defense The sky will yield less than one inch The sky will yield less than one inch Soundings reveal no thunder in the dark coming down The atmospheric columns show a silent grey decay No sudden salvation for the starving town The pattern shifts to pull the sun away We wait on Friday night for the impending shift A cruel deliverance, a dry and empty gift The prophecy is signed in dust The heavens offer no defense The sky will yield less than one inch The sky will yield less than one inch After midnight The skies collapse A pattern shift Less than one inch Less than one inch The drought remains
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 550 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026
- Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through the work week.
- No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the weather pattern will begin to shift this weekend.
- Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday Night) Issued at 1022 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
I tell you what.
We may be crunchy and dry, but you can't ask for any better fall weather than we've seen in the last several days.
Afternoon highs in the 70s and crisp wake-up weather in the 40s?
It's been amazing -- and we're not done yet.
More of the same is expected through Friday.
There may be a day or two we reach 80 at BNA, but everybody else will maintain the 70s with light winds and lots of sun.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1022 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
Of course, anyone reading this is wondering about the weekend rain.
It's safe to say, we're gonna get it. The question is when.
When I left here last Friday, the GFS already had two days in the books bringing rain in here Saturday evening. 4 days later, that hasn't changed, so there has been some serious consistency with this.
In the same vain, the Euro was dry all weekend.
As of the 12Z run, it looks like it's finally coming around to the GFS, however just not as early.
It's leaning more toward after midnight arrival.
The NBM refuses to take a stand one way or the other, so we're gonna be another day or two to work the trick-or-treating news.
The good news is forecast soundings aren't looking thundery.
Unfortunately, this isn't going to be anything near a drought buster as most, if not all of Middle TN, will register less than 1 inch.
Here's the best news: the arrival of this weekend's rains looks to be a shift in the overall pattern with more rain in the cards next week.