Bone Dry Air Mass
Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 6:35 AM

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Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future. No rain is expected for at least the next seven days, and likely longer. Drought conditions are going to worsen. Surface ridge to the north and west North-northwest flow giving us no rest Middle Tennessee under a sky of steel Not a single drop for the earth to feel Forty-eight hours and the temperature stays Locked inside these endless sunny days Relative humidity is bottoming out Thirty to forty percent in a relentless drought Friday comes along and it drops down lower The sky is a furnace and the clock moves slower High pressure taking hold, watch the river pass National Blend of Models says the clouds won't last Every single forecast run pushes back the class We are trapped inside a bone dry air mass Blowing through the trees with a dry crisp heat Dust on the highway and cracks in the street High pressure dominant, sitting like a stone Leaving every acre dried up to the bone End of next week? Maybe just a lie Look at the horizon, not a cloud in the sky High pressure taking hold, watch the river pass National Blend of Models says the clouds won't last Every single forecast run pushes back the class We are trapped inside a bone dry air mass Bone dry Bone dry National Blend of Models pushes rain away Worsening drought conditions every single day Bone dry air mass
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 634 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
- Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future.
- No rain is expected for at least the next 7 days, and likely longer.
- Drought conditions are going to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday Night) Issued at 1038 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
A surface ridge remains in place to our north and west while we remain in NNW flow aloft.
The surface ridge will work its way slowly eastward during the next 48 hours or so, but little change in temperature will occur.
Afternoon RH values will bottom out in the 30-40% range tomorrow, and even lower on Friday as a bone-dry air mass remains in places across the region.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 1038 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
Temperatures at least through day 7 will remain quite stable and just above seasonal norms.
Indeed, high pressure will remain the dominant weather feature across Middle Tennessee for the foreseeable future, and it is unclear when our next appreciable rain chances might occur.
Perhaps the end of next week?
Rain chances seem to get pushed off with each successive run of the NBM.
At any rate, the 7-day forecast is completely devoid of any rain chances, and so drought conditions will continue to worsen.