Pushed Off Again
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 10:44 PM
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Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future. No rain is expected for at least the next seven days, and likely longer. Drought conditions are going to worsen. Whoa! Yeah! Step right up, everybody! Got a little forecast for ya! Well now, surface ridge sitting up north and west, North-northwest flow aloft doing what it does best! Forty-eight hours and nothing is gonna shift, Just a bone-dry air mass floating on a drift. Afternoon relative humidity bottoming out at thirty to forty percent, And Friday? Oh honey, it is even lower than where it went! Step right up, see the sun burn bright! High pressure dominant all through the night! You are looking for rain? Well, guess what, my friend... It's pushed off again! Now, the National Blend of Models is playing a trick, Every single run pushes rain off real quick! Maybe next week? Maybe end of the line? Drought conditions worsening, but the weather feels fine! Seven-day forecast completely devoid of a single drop, When this high pressure party starts, it's never gonna stop! Step right up, see the sun burn bright! High pressure dominant all through the night! You are looking for rain? Well, guess what, my friend... It's pushed off again! Step right up, see the sun burn bright! High pressure dominant all through the night! You are looking for rain? Well, guess what, my friend... It's pushed off again! Yeah! Pushed off again! See ya day seven! Maybe day eight? Don't hold your breath, baby! Whoa-oh! Bone dry!
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1038 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
- Mild, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue for the foreseeable future.
- No rain is expected for at least the next 7 days, and likely longer.
- Drought conditions are going to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday Night) Issued at 1038 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
A surface ridge remains in place to our north and west while we remain in NNW flow aloft.
The surface ridge will work its way slowly eastward during the next 48 hours or so, but little change in temperature will occur.
Afternoon RH values will bottom out in the 30-40% range tomorrow, and even lower on Friday as a bone-dry air mass remains in places across the region.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 1038 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
Temperatures at least through day 7 will remain quite stable and just above seasonal norms.
Indeed, high pressure will remain the dominant weather feature across Middle Tennessee for the foreseeable future, and it is unclear when our next appreciable rain chances might occur.
Perhaps the end of next week?
Rain chances seem to get pushed off with each successive run of the NBM.
At any rate, the 7-day forecast is completely devoid of any rain chances, and so drought conditions will continue to worsen.