Below 30 Percent
Monday, October 19, 2026 · 10:40 AM
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Lyrics
Expect cool nights and pleasant days through the week and this weekend. No rain is expected for the foreseeable future. Drought conditions are going to worsen. Surface high pressure is sliding across Middle Tennessee today. Seasonal norms, calm winds. Dew points are dropping low. Afternoon relative humidity values less than forty percent. West of Interstate sixty-five, it falls even lower. Tomorrow afternoon bottoming out thirty-five to forty-five percent. Quiet dry air holding the mid state down. Rain chances for seven days are zero! When does the next system arrive? Maybe early to mid next week? We are watching the soil turn to bone! The surface high will never move! The moisture bleeds away from the earth! Nothing left in the atmosphere! Relative humidity falls below 30 percent! DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN! NO RAIN FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE! BELOW 30 PERCENT! Maybe next week... Nothing left to hold...
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1027 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
- Expect cool nights and pleasant days through the week and this weekend.
- No rain is expected for the foreseeable future.
Drought conditions are going to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Tuesday) Issued at 1027 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
Surface high pressure is sliding across Middle Tennessee today, and high pressure is expected to remain the dominant weather feature across the region for the foreseeable future.
In the near term, temperatures are very close to seasonal norms.
Dew points are very low, and afternoon RH values less than 40% (and in some cases less than 30%) are forecast for this afternoon generally west of I-65, and most of the mid state will bottom out in the 35-45% range tomorrow afternoon.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday Night through next Monday) Issued at 1027 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
Temperatures will gradually warm throughout the week and this weekend, but we don't expect to stray too far above seasonal norms at any point.
Rain chances for the next 7 days are negligible.
It is unclear when the next weather-producing system might impact the mid state.
Maybe early to mid next week?
In the meantime, expect drought conditions to continue to worsen for all of Middle Tennessee.