Push 80 Degrees
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 6:51 PM
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Patchy frost overnight, especially for the Upper Cumberland. Gradual warming trend next week with highs in the seventies, and some lower eighties late week. Dry pattern for the rest of the month with drought conditions worsening. Northerly winds howl across Middle Tennessee! Gusts dying down as the darkness takes the street! The Upper Cumberland feels the midnight bite! Fifties and low sixties washed in blinding sunlight! Patchy frost settles on the dormant soil! Under high pressure, the atmosphere begins to boil! The upper ridge locks in over the Southeast! No relief coming, no shadow from the beast! The sky stays empty, the ground begins to crack! There is no turning back! Clear blue skies while the dry earth bleeds! No rain in sight for the ground and seeds! The mercury climbs as the warm air leads! By the end of the week we will push 80 degrees! We will push 80 degrees! Zero chance of rain for the rest of October! A picture perfect day making no one sober! The drought condition is an ever-growing threat! Not a single drop of wetting moisture left to get! A trapped atmosphere under static control! A silent ridge burning down the soul! Sunlight tearing through the autumn air! Upper Cumberland standing stripped and bare! No rain! No cloud! No grace! High pressure locked in place! Clear blue skies while the dry earth bleeds! No rain in sight for the ground and seeds! The mercury climbs as the warm air leads! By the end of the week we will push 80 degrees! We will push 80 degrees! The rest of the month remains bone dry! Locked beneath this empty sky! We push 80 degrees! Push 80 degrees!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 645 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026
- Patchy frost overnight, especially for the Upper Cumberland.
- Gradual warming trend next week with highs in the 70s, and some lower 80s late week.
- Dry pattern for the rest of the month with drought conditions worsening.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Sunday) Issued at 1017 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026
Well hello fall!
You finally showed up! The real first taste of something other than record heat might make it feel actually chilly out there even with full sunshine today.
Highs in the 50s and low 60s with gusty northerly winds can be expected today with winds decreasing in speed during the afternoon and evening hours.
A few areas of patchy frost may develop tonight once those winds die down, but Sunday is shaping up to be a picture perfect fall day with sunny skies and Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
LONG TERM
(Sunday Night through next Saturday) Issued at 1017 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026
Sunday Night will bring another chance for patchy frost before a gradual warm up is expected through the work week.
Full sunshine, zero chances for rain, and Highs in the 70s with Lows in the 40s can be expected all week.
In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if a few locations toward the end of next week approach 80+ degrees for Highs.
Taking a look at long-range models, High Pressure/upper ridge will remain in full control over the Southeast and no significant measurable rainfall really looks to impact Middle Tennessee through the rest of the month.
Great for fall outdoor festivities, not- so- great for our ever-increasing concern for drought conditions.