Climb Through the 70s
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 12:32 PM
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A breezy cold front is pushing through the area, bringing much cooler temperatures for the weekend. The Cumberland Plateau and low lying areas west of the Plateau will see the first light frost of the season early Sunday morning. There are only low, light rain chances with today's frontal passage and none hereafter, so drought conditions are expected to worsen. Overcast skies marching past Interstate sixty-five! The record heat from Monday through Thursday is dead! Cold air advection dropping us down into the lower forties! A trace to a couple hundredths of rain, that is all we get! Breezy northwest winds howling through the lingering clouds tonight! Relative humidity drops to thirty percent in the west! Do not burn anything, the drought conditions worsen! The plateau is freezing as the cold air settles in! Under plenty of sunshine the sky stays clear We watch the temperature rise through the year High pressure holds over the land in the east We climb through the 70s! Saturday is the coolest day of the season so far! High temperatures only making mid fifties to lower sixties! Winds decrease and the mercury plunges into the thirties! Light frost forming in the low lying areas by morning! No moisture left in the wake of the front! Sprinkles west of Interstate sixty-five! Evaporating into nothing before reaching the soil! The upper level low retrogrades on the Atlantic coast! Nothing touches us, the ridge is a fortress! None hereafter! None hereafter! Under plenty of sunshine the sky stays clear We watch the temperature rise through the year High pressure holds over the land in the east We climb through the 70s! Thirty percent relative humidity! Do not burn! The drought worsens! We climb through the 70s!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1229 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026
- A breezy cold front is pushing through the area, bringing much cooler temperatures for the weekend.
- The Cumberland Plateau and low lying areas west of the Plateau will see the first light frost of the season early Sunday morning.
- There are only low, light rain chances with today's frontal passage and none hereafter, so drought conditions are expected to worsen.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Saturday Night) Issued at 1053 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026
The cold front is marching through the area this morning bringing overcast skies, gusty northwest winds, and dropping temperatures.
It is quite the change from the record-breaking heat we saw Monday through Thursday.
Radar shows some light returns west of I-65, so some sprinkles and light showers will be possible this afternoon and evening.
Any rain amounts will be a trace to a couple hundredths.
Breezy northwest winds will continue overnight with cloud cover lingering.
With the cold air advection, temperatures will be able to fall to the lower to mid 40s.
Saturday will be the coolest day of the season so far with temperatures only making it to the mid 50s to lower 60s!
Breezy northerly winds will continue and RH values over the western half of the CWA will drop to around 30%.
I would advise to not burn anything given the ongoing drought conditions.
Saturday night will see winds decrease and temperatures drop into the 30s.
Light frost is likely in the low- lying areas along the plateau.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Friday) Issued at 1053 AM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026
The story of the extended period will be the continuing dry conditions.
High pressure will be established on Sunday with influences continuing through the work week.
The upper low over the Carolina coast may retrograde west onshore mid to late week but those influences will stay east of our area.
Locally, we'll see high temperatures slowly climb through the 70s through the week with plenty of sunshine.