Minuscule Rainfall
Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 10:34 AM
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Updated at ten eighteen A.M. Central Daylight Time Thursday October fifteenth twenty twenty-six. Unseasonably warm weather continues today with record highs likely. A cold front will arrive on Friday, bringing very low rain chances and much cooler temperatures. There are no rain chances in Middle Tennessee after Friday. Drought conditions are therefore expected to worsen at least in the near-term. Warm front pinned to the immediate north Radar echoes dying out over Kentucky Temperature gradient pulling across Middle Tennessee Cold front blasting through tomorrow dry Drought locked into the ground Nothing left behind the line Minuscule rainfall Minuscule rainfall Minuscule rainfall Minuscule rainfall Minuscule rainfall Minuscule rainfall Minuscule rainfall Minuscule rainfall MINUSCULE RAINFALL MINUSCULE RAINFALL MINUSCULE RAINFALL MINUSCULE RAINFALL Minuscule rainfall Minuscule rainfall
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1018 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026
- Unseasonably warm weather continues today with record highs likely.
- A cold front will arrive on Friday, bringing very low rain chances and much cooler temperatures.
- There are no rain chances in Middle Tennessee after Friday.
Drought conditions are therefore expected to worsen at least in the near-term.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday) Issued at 1018 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026
A warm front remains situated to the immediate north of Middle Tennessee.
There are a few radar echoes showing up across Kentucky, but rain chances across the mid state are negligible.
A strong cold front is expected to blast through the region tomorrow and bring significantly cooler temperatures.
Despite the strong temperature gradient between air masses, only low rain chances and minuscule rainfall amounts are expected with tomorrow's fropa.
Indeed, the cold front will come through dry for most locations.
But the temperatures that await on the other side are going to feel marvelous.
LONG TERM
(Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 1018 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026
While we're looking at one more day of record-breaking warmth today, many spots are likely to wake up to frost Sunday morning, mainly along the Cumberland Plateau and other traditional "cool spots" around the area.
High pressure will continue to dominate the weather across Middle Tennessee well into next week.
Temperatures will warm up gradually after this weekend, but we don't expect to stray too far above seasonal norms even by the end of the week.
Meanwhile, after Friday, there are no more weather-producing systems coming our way any time soon.
Therefore, the worsening drought conditions that we are experiencing will continue to worsen, at least in the near-term.