Upper Forties
Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 11:13 AM
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Low to medium chance for scattered showers across the Cumberland Plateau this afternoon. Pleasant weather this weekend with seasonal temperatures and dry conditions. Eleven ten A.M. Central Daylight Time— Thursday, September twenty-fourth— Visible satellite shows— Breaks! Breaks in the stratus deck! Highs knocked down two degrees! Two! From National Blend of Models guidance at eleven ten— Showers on the plateau! Low to medium— It breaks off— Large upper troff sits over the eastern fourth! Continental United States! Friday night reinforcing shot! Cool air filtering— Sunrise Saturday! Fifty! Fifties across the entire area— Upper forties along the— Cut off mid-breath! Abnormally dry to moderate drought! We need the rain! Discrepancies on the mid-week troff! Progressive or stalled! Wednesday and onward! Rain chances hanging in the void! Breaks in the stratus deck! Temperatures falling! Upper forties! Upper forties on the plateau! Upper forties! Sunrise Saturday! Upper forties!
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1110 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
- Low to medium chance for scattered showers across the Cumberland Plateau this afternoon.
- Pleasant weather this weekend with seasonal temperatures and dry conditions.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday) Issued at 1110 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
It's been another low overcast morning so far across most of the area.
Visible satellite is showing some breaks developing in the stratus deck and that trend will continue through the afternoon allowing for some sun to return.
This will help temperatures warm a little more than yesterday, but highs were still knocked down a couple of degrees from NBM guidance.
We've seen some showers on the plateau this morning and those low to medium chances will continue through the afternoon.
The large upper trough will continue to sit over the eastern fourth of the CONUS on Friday with a reinforcing shot of cool air filtering in Friday night.
This means temperatures will be in the 50s across the area for sunrise on Saturday.
A few spots along the plateau may even dip into the upper 40s.
LONG TERM
(Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 1110 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
The weekend is looking splendid with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s.
Fortunately and unfortunately, the weekend will be dry and that will continue into early next week.
A large trough will try to progress across the mountain west and plains during the mid week period but there are some discrepancies on how progressive this trough will be. This will affect our rain chances from Wednesday and onward.
We certainly need the rain with the new drought statement showing abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions across the majority of the area.