Very Crunchy Lawns

Tuesday, September 15, 2026 · 10:45 PM

Cover art for Very Crunchy Lawns

Lyrics

Very hot and humid conditions with triple digit heat indices will continue. A Heat Advisory has been extended through Saturday for most of Middle Tennessee.
Slight cooldown early next week, but overall temperatures will stay above normal for the foreseeable future.
Low rain chances mainly for the Plateau this weekend. Low rain chances area-wide early next week.

A six thousand meter dome of five hundred millibar stone
Sits frozen in the atmosphere overhead alone
Nashville reached one hundred degrees, the prophecy fulfilled
Under level four extreme heat risk, all the green is killed

The center of the ridge retreats, but gives us no relief
An eternal summer looming, an unbearable grief
No meaningful rainfall will fall upon the radar screen
Only worsening drought where the grass was once green

The ground is breaking underfoot, the atmosphere is drawn
We suffer under burning skies, upon very crunchy lawns

A hundred degrees at Nashville, standard of our hurt
No shower falls to save us from this baking dirt
A front may ooze down from the north, a ghost without a name
It will not break the record heat, it will not quench the flame

The ground is breaking underfoot, the atmosphere is drawn
We suffer under burning skies, upon very crunchy lawns

Very crunchy lawns!
Above normal for the foreseeable future!
Very crunchy lawns!
No rain will save us!
Very crunchy lawns!

The forecast discussion

NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1045 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

- Very hot and humid conditions with triple digit heat indices will continue.

A Heat Advisory has been extended through Saturday for most of Middle Tennessee.

- Slight cooldown early next week, but overall temperatures will stay above normal for the foreseeable future.

- Low rain chances mainly for the Plateau this weekend.

Low rain chances area-wide early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 1045 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

Dangerous heat is the main concern this week, especially during the afternoon hours.

A powerful 6000+ meter 500 mb ridge over the region will keep conditions hot and humid with no meaningful rain potential.

BNA reached a record-setting 100 degrees Tuesday and there is no reason to doubt it will happen again Wednesday as the ridge intensifies directly overhead.

Record high temperatures are in jeopardy each day this week.

The high pressure will decrease slightly as the center of the ridge retreats to our southwest late week, but Heat Risk levels will remain in the Major to Extreme category (level 3 to 4 out of 4).

A stray shower cannot be completely ruled out, but certainly no meaningful rainfall will occur this week.

Look for worsening drought conditions and very crunchy lawns.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1045 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

As the ridge weakens slightly, diurnal convection chances will increase this weekend.

This means rain chances mostly less than 30 percent, and mostly for the Plateau.

Mostly low rain chances will develop area-wide early next week as a front oozes southward toward our area.

Unfortunately, it is not looking like much rain.

Also, even if the heat does back off, temperatures are expected to stay on the hot side of normal.