Break The Record
Tuesday, September 15, 2026 · 11:26 AM
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Lyrics
Hot and humid conditions continue through the end of the week with triple digit heat indices. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for most of Middle Tennessee through Wednesday. Low rain chances mainly for the Plateau this weekend with higher rain chances returning early next week. A gradual cooldown is on tap Sunday into early next week, but temperatures remain above-normal for the next several days. Heavy atmospheric weight, strong subsidence locking down! High pressure standing dominant, no clouds above the town! Forecast high at ninety-nine, burning up the asphalt grid! Fifty to sixty percent chance that we blow right off the lid! National Blend of Models calling for a hundred on the dial! Ninety-eight was ninety-nine years ago, trapped in our exile! No convection allowed, no rain in sight! Subsided ridge crushing day and night! Mercury climbing, nowhere to hide! Feel the record high rising inside! Under the pressure of a hundred degrees! Choking for air on a stifling breeze! Ninety-eight is falling, history erased! Ninety-nine in Nashville, we break the record! Upper nineties through the week, thermal dome won't ever shift! Zero relief in the short term, not a single cloud to lift! Record standing since September nineteen twenty-seven dies! Air cap suffocating, heat advisory in our eyes! Syncopated pulse of heat, breathing fire in the lungs! Middle Tennessee trapped under sixty percent gun! SUBSIDENCE! CRUSH THE RECORD! NINETY-NINE DEGREES! NO RAIN! NO RELIEF! Ninety-nine degrees. History broken. Crushed.
The forecast discussion
NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1120 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026
- Hot and humid conditions continue through the end of the week with triple digit heat indices.
A Heat Advisory remains in effect for most of Middle Tennessee through Wednesday.
- Low rain chances mainly for the Plateau this weekend with higher rain chances returning early next week.
- A gradual cooldown is on tap Sunday into early next week, but temperatures remain above-normal for the next several days.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Wednesday) Issued at 1120 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026
Heat impacts continue to be the main story through the end of the week as a very strong area of high pressure dominates the region.
High temperatures this afternoon are forecast to reach into the upper-90s to near 100 degrees.
For BNA, the forecast high temperature for today is 99 degrees which would break the daily record of 98 degrees set back in 1927. A 100-degree reading isn't out of the question either with latest NBM probabilities giving about a 50-60% chance of getting there.
Much of the same is expected on Wednesday with temperatures once again reaching into the upper- 90s with triple digit heat indices.
With strong subsidence, dry conditions will prevail with no rain expected
LONG TERM
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1120 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026
This hot and dry pattern is going nowhere through the end of the week as this high pressure stays overhead through Friday.
Temperatures will stay in the upper-90s through Friday with readings continuing to flirt with daily records.
An extension of the Heat Advisory may be needed through the end of the week.
While some spots may not technically hit heat advisory criteria, these forecast temperatures are at least 10 degrees above normal, and this prolonged heat wave will make for major heat risk.
The high finally shifts west this weekend, and temperatures will fall ever so slowly.
A pattern change looks to finally arrive early next week as an upper- level trough tracks to the north, sending a cold front south.
This will finally drop temperatures below 90 degrees and reintroduce medium rain chances to the forecast.