Feeling Like 100
Tuesday, September 8, 2026 · 6:09 AM
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Key messages. Updated at six zero nine A.M. Central Daylight Time Tuesday September eighth twenty twenty-six. Above-normal temperatures with highs generally in the nineties expected through the week. Wednesday will be the hottest day of the week with heat indices near one hundred degrees. Mainly dry Tuesday and Wednesday, but rain chances increase starting Thursday. Strong high pressure centered over the Plains! Setting back across the southeast! Subsidence crushing every rising cloud! Precipitable water at one point three inches! Can this warm atmosphere generate a spark? The National Blend gives ten to twenty percent! High resolution convection allowing models whisper in the dark, Patchy fog at night before the fires start, Setting back over us, there is no escape! West of the Plateau the mercury climbs, We choke on the pressure of borrowed time, Wednesday arrives to burn us home, Feeling like one hundred! A quiet night ahead in the sixties and low seventies! Waiting for the heat to peak in the mid-nineties! Subsidence holding down the atmosphere! Most of the area stays dry in fear! One point three inches of moisture trapped below! Strong high pressure suffocates the flow! Will the heat break through the sinking air? Or leave us burning in this open glare? West of the Plateau the mercury climbs, We choke on the pressure of borrowed time, Wednesday arrives to burn us home, Feeling like one hundred! Wednesday takes it all! Subsidence holds the wall! Feeling like one hundred! Feeling like one hundred!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 609 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026
- Above-normal temperatures with highs generally in the 90s expected through the week.
Wednesday will be the hottest day of the week with heat indices near 100 degrees.
- Mainly dry Tuesday and Wednesday, but rain chances increase starting Thursday.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Wednesday Night) Issued at 1020 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026
Satellite imagery this evening shows strong high pressure centered over the Plains, and this feature will be setting back over the southeastern US through Wednesday.
Quiet night is ahead with only a low chance for patchy fog and lows in the 60s to low-70s.
Temperatures will be on the rise Tuesday and Wednesday, peaking in the mid-90s west of the Plateau.
Some CAMs are picking up on a few isolated showers Tuesday.
Not sure how likely this is with strong subsidence, but PWATs of 1.3 inches are right around average so perhaps this warm atmosphere can help generate a couple showers.
The NBM has picked up on this as well and has introduced low PoPs (10-20%) into the forecast.
At any rate, most of the area will stay dry, and dry conditions expected on Wednesday.
Wednesday will also be the hottest day of the week with heat indices near 100.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1020 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026
Troughing to our north sends a front south on Thursday.
Moisture streaming into the area ahead of the front will cause rain/thunderstorm chances to increase Thursday into Friday.
Forecast soundings still don't show much of a severe threat with poor lapse rates and weak shear at or less than 30 knots.
But with forcing from the front, we may have to watch to see if a low strong to severe threat presents itself.
Low to medium rain chances will linger this weekend with southerly flow and a couple shortwaves tracking through the area.
As far as temperatures go, they'll cool some Thursday into the weekend with the breakdown of the high and periods of rain, but highs still look to range from the upper-80s into the low-90s.